Bonus Assignment_DCF Valuation_Piravin.P
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School
Toronto Metropolitan University *
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Course
514
Subject
Finance
Date
Jan 9, 2024
Type
xlsm
Pages
20
Uploaded by LieutenantCaribou430
IGM Control Panel
Key Model Drivers:
Key Performance Indicators:
Year of Interest:
Sales Growth Rate
7.0%
Gross Profit Margin
23.0%
Net Profit Margin (NI/S)
Dividend Payout Ratio
25.0%
Asset Turnover
(S/A)
Capital expenditures as % of sales
5.0%
Equity Multiplier (A/E)
Terminal Value Parameters
Return on Equity
WACC (stable period)
7.50%
Reinvestment Rate (K)
ROIC (stable period)
7.50%
Return on Invested Capital
Growth Rate (stable period)
2.00%
Valuation as of: 9/30/2015
Enterprise Value
Less Net Debt
Equity Value
Shares Outstanding
Equity Value per Share
2016P
%
16.4%
%
47.8%
%
138.8%
%
10.9%
%
27.8%
%
11.2%
$mm
0.0
$mm
830.5
$mm
(830.5)
mm
1,600.0
$
(0.5)
Scenario Analysis
2
Scenario
1 Base Case + 10%
7.7%
25.3%
27.5%
2 Base Case
7.0%
23.0%
25.0%
3 Base Case - 10%
6.3%
20.7%
22.5%
4 Sales Growth Rate
- Low
6.3%
23.0%
25.0%
5 Gross Profit Margin
- Low
7.0%
20.7%
25.0%
6 Dividend Payout Ratio
- Low
7.0%
23.0%
22.5%
7 Capital expenditures as % of sales
- Low
7.0%
23.0%
25.0%
8 WACC (stable period)
- Low
7.0%
23.0%
25.0%
9 ROIC (stable period)
- Low
7.0%
23.0%
25.0%
10 Growth Rate (stable period)
- Low
7.0%
23.0%
25.0%
11 Sales Growth Rate
- High
7.7%
23.0%
25.0%
12 Gross Profit Margin
- High
7.0%
25.3%
25.0%
13 Dividend Payout Ratio
- High
7.0%
23.0%
27.5%
14 Capital expenditures as % of sales
- High
7.0%
23.0%
25.0%
15 WACC (stable period)
- High
7.0%
23.0%
25.0%
16 ROIC (stable period)
- High
7.0%
23.0%
25.0%
17 Growth Rate (stable period)
- High
7.0%
23.0%
25.0%
2 Base Case
7.0%
23.0%
25.0%
Output
Scenario
1
Base Case + 10%
16.4%
47.8%
138.8%
2
Base Case
14.2%
48.3%
135.7%
3
Base Case - 10%
12.1%
48.6%
134.1%
4
Sales Volumn Growth (Flat) - Low
14.2%
48.1%
135.0%
5
Sales Volumn Growth (Rolled) - Low
14.2%
48.2%
135.6%
6
Gross Profit Margin - Low
12.1%
48.1%
140.1%
7
Dividend Payout Ratio - Low
14.2%
48.2%
132.6%
Case
Number:
Case
Number
Sales
Growth
Rate
Gross
Profit
Margin
Dividend
Payout
Ratio
Case
Number
Net Profit
Margin
(NI/S)
Asset
Turnover
(S/A)
Equity
Multiplier
(A/E)
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8
Days Sales Outstanding - Low
14.2%
48.7%
134.7%
9
Inventory Turns - Low
14.2%
47.9%
136.9%
10
Days Payables Outstanding - Low
14.2%
48.3%
135.7%
11
Capital expenditures as % of sales - Low
14.2%
49.1%
133.5%
12
WACC (stable period) - Low
14.2%
48.3%
135.7%
13
ROIC (stable period) - Low
14.2%
48.3%
135.7%
14
Growth Rate (stable period) - Low
14.2%
48.3%
135.7%
15
Sales Volumn Growth (Flat) - High
14.2%
48.5%
136.5%
16
Sales Volumn Growth (Rolled) - High
14.2%
48.3%
135.8%
17
Gross Profit Margin - High
16.4%
48.3%
132.2%
Incremental Downside and Upside Sensitivity
Equity Value per Share
Parameter
Low-Base High-Base
Total
Sales Growth Rate
-100.00%
-10.17%
-110.17%
Gross Profit Margin
-100.00%
-11.98%
-111.98%
Dividend Payout Ratio
-100.00%
-11.62%
111.62%
Capital expenditures as % of sales
#VALUE!
-9.66%
#VALUE!
WACC (stable period)
-2.82%
0.00%
2.82%
ROIC (stable period)
-11.05%
-14.18%
25.23%
Growth Rate (stable period)
-20.11%
-11.05%
31.16%
#VALUE!
Err:502
#VALUE!
#VALUE!
#VALUE!
#VALUE!
#VALUE!
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.0
Chart Ti
Low-Base
H
WACC (stable period)
5.5%
8.3%
8.3%
2.2%
5.0%
7.5%
7.5%
2.0%
4.5%
6.8%
6.8%
1.8%
5.0%
7.5%
7.5%
2.0%
5.0%
7.5%
7.5%
2.0%
5.0%
7.5%
7.5%
2.0%
4.5%
7.5%
7.5%
2.0%
5.0%
6.8%
7.5%
2.0%
5.0%
7.5%
6.8%
2.0%
5.0%
7.5%
7.5%
1.8%
5.0%
7.5%
7.5%
2.0%
5.0%
7.5%
7.5%
2.0%
5.0%
7.5%
7.5%
2.0%
5.5%
7.5%
7.5%
2.0%
5.0%
8.3%
7.5%
2.0%
5.0%
7.5%
8.3%
2.0%
5.0%
7.5%
7.5%
2.2%
5.0%
7.5%
7.5%
2.0%
Reinvestment Rate (K)
Equity Value
10.9%
27.8%
11.2%
1,626.8
1,716.5
171.6
9.3%
27.8%
9.7%
1,481.4
1,571.1
157.1
7.9%
27.8%
8.3%
1,321.5
1,411.2
141.1
9.2%
27.8%
9.7%
1,469.8
1,559.5
156.0
9.3%
27.8%
9.7%
1,480.1
1,569.8
157.0
8.1%
27.8%
8.3%
1,209.7
1,299.4
129.9
9.1%
27.8%
9.7%
1,480.0
1,569.7
157.0
Capital
expenditures
as % of sales
ROIC (stable
period)
Growth Rate
(stable
period)
Return on
Equity
Return on
Invested
Capital
Enterprise
Value
Equity
Value per
Share
Run All Scenarios
Set up Model for Given
Case
Reset Model with Base
Case Parameters
9.3%
27.8%
9.9%
1,496.9
1,586.6
158.7
9.3%
27.8%
9.6%
1,465.0
1,554.7
155.5
9.3%
27.8%
9.7%
1,471.5
1,561.2
156.1
9.3%
27.8%
9.9%
1,506.0
1,595.7
159.6
9.3%
27.8%
9.7%
1,676.6
1,766.3
176.6
9.3%
30.9%
9.7%
1,426.2
1,515.9
151.6
9.3%
25.0%
9.7%
1,481.4
1,571.1
157.1
9.4%
27.8%
9.8%
1,493.2
1,582.9
158.3
9.3%
27.8%
9.8%
1,482.8
1,572.5
157.2
10.5%
27.8%
11.2%
1,752.5
1,842.2
184.2
Small
Parameter
Low-Base
High-Base
Err:502
#VALUE!
0.00%
0.00%
Err:502
16
#VALUE!
#VALUE!
#VALUE!
#VALUE!
#VALUE!
15
#VALUE!
#VALUE!
#VALUE!
#VALUE!
#VALUE!
14
#VALUE!
#VALUE!
#VALUE!
#VALUE!
#VALUE!
13
#VALUE!
#VALUE!
#VALUE!
#VALUE!
#VALUE!
12
#VALUE!
#VALUE!
#VALUE!
#VALUE!
#VALUE!
00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
itle
High-Base
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Inglis' Gold Mines
Company Name
Inglis' Gold Mines
Ticker
IGM
Latest Fiscal year end date
6/30/2015
Income Statement
Fiscal year
2015A
2016P
Fiscal year end date
Units
6/30/2015
6/30/2016
Sales
$mm
127,889.0
138,120.1
Cost of Goods Sold
$mm
102,311.2
106,352.5
Gross Profit
$mm
25,577.8
31,767.6
Selling, General and Admin
$mm
6,414.2
7,596.6
Operating Income Before Deprec. (EBITDA)
$mm
19,163.6
24,171.0
Depreciation
$mm
2,247.8
3,214.6
Operating Profit (EBIT)
$mm
16,915.8
20,956.4
Interest Income
$mm
834.2
393.5
Interest Expense
$mm
4,000.5
3,489.2
Pretax Income (EBT)
$mm
13,749.5
17,860.7
Income Tax
$mm
4,537.3
7,144.3
Net Income
$mm
9,212.2
10,716.4
Dividends
$mm
1,842.4
2,679.1
Additions to Retained Earnings
$mm
7,369.7
8,037.3
Number of shares Outstanding (million)
mm
1,600.0
1,600.0
Tax Rate
%
33.0%
40.0%
Balance Sheet
Fiscal year
2015A
2016P
Fiscal year end date
Units
6/30/2015
6/30/2016
Assets
Required Operating Cash
$mm
3,489.8
4,143.6
Excess Cash and Markatable Securities
$mm
16,183.2
9,554.3
Accounts Receivable
$mm
31,972.3
27,624.0
Inventory
$mm
21,104.1
25,524.6
Other Current Assets
$mm
1,230.1
1,381.2
Total Current Assets
$mm
73,979.5
68,227.7
Gross Plant, Property & Equipment
$mm
84,439.6
91,345.6
Accumulated Depreciation
$mm
23,786.9
Net Plant, Property & Equipment
$mm
60,652.7
91,345.6
Total Assets
$mm
134,632.2
159,573.3
Liabilities and Equity
Accounts Payable
$mm
21,741.1
19,143.4
Revolver (Short Term Debt)
$mm
0.0
0.0
Total Current Liabilities
$mm
21,741.1
19,143.4
Long Term Debt
$mm
69,783.3
62,283.3
Total Liabilities
$mm
91,524.4
81,426.7
Common Stock / Paid in Capital
$mm
31,260.0
31,260.0
Retained Earnings
$mm
11,847.7
19,885.1
Total Common Equity
$mm
43,107.7
51,145.1
Total Liabilities & Equity
$mm
134,632.2
132,571.8
Balance Check
0.0
27,001.5
Cash Flow Statement
Fiscal year
2015A
2016P
Fiscal year end date
Units
6/30/2015
6/30/2016
Cash Flows from Operating Activities
Net Income
$mm
9,212.2
10,716.4
Add Depreciation Expense
$mm
2,247.8
3,214.6
Less Increase in Operating Cash
$mm
39.9
653.8
Less Increase in Account Receivables
$mm
832.3
(4,348.2)
Less Increase in Inventories
$mm
(3,694.8)
4,420.5
Less Increase in Other Current Assets
$mm
0.0
151.1
Add Increase in Accounts Payable
$mm
(1,925.2)
(2,597.7)
Total Cash Flows from Operations
$mm
12,357.3
10,456.2
Cash Flows from Investing Activities
Less Capital Expenditures
$mm
4,300.0
6,906.0
Total Cash Flows from Investing
$mm
4,300.0
6,906.0
Cash Flows from Financing Activities
Add Issuance/(Repayment) of Revolver
$mm
0.0
0.0
Add Issuance/(Repayment) of Long-Term Debt
$mm
7,500.0
(7,500.0)
Add Issuance/(Repayment) of Equity
$mm
0.0
0.0
Less Cash Dividends Paid to Shareholders
$mm
1,842.4
2,679.1
Total Cash Flows from Financing
$mm
5,657.6
(10,179.1)
Net Change in Excess Cash and Markatable Securities
$mm
13,714.9
(6,628.9)
Beginning Excess Cash and Marketable Securities
$mm
2,468.3
16,183.2
Net Change in Excess Cash and Markatable Securities
$mm
13,714.9
(6,628.9)
Ending Excess Cash and Marketable Securities
$mm
16,183.2
9,554.3
Fiscal year
2015A
2016P
Fiscal year end date
Units
6/30/2015
6/30/2016
Investment Module
Required Investments
Increase in Operating Cash
$mm
39.9
653.8
Increase in Accounts Receivable
$mm
832.3
(4,348.2)
Increase in Inventory
$mm
(3,694.8)
4,420.5
Increase in Other Current Assets
$mm
0.0
151.1
Increase in Total Current Assets
$mm
(2,822.6)
877.2
CapEx (i.e. Increase in Fixed Assets)
$mm
4,300.0
6,906.0
Total Requied Investment in Assets
$mm
1,477.5
7,783.2
Financing Module
Spontaneous Financing
Increase in Accounts Payable
$mm
(1,925.2)
(2,597.7)
Total Spontaneous Financing
$mm
(1,925.2)
(2,597.7)
Internal Financing
Net Income
$mm
9,212.2
10,716.4
Add Depreciation
$mm
2,247.8
3,214.6
Less Minimum Dividends
$mm
1,842.4
2,679.1
Total Internal Financing
$mm
9,617.5
11,251.9
Total Spontaneous and Internal Financing
7,692.3
8,654.2
Required Financing
(6,214.9)
(871.1)
Fiscal year
2015A
2016P
Fiscal year end date
Units
6/30/2015
6/30/2016
Increase in Long Term Debt (Exogenously determined)
$mm
(7,500.0)
Increase in Equity (Exogenousy determined)
$mm
0.0
Required Financing after accounting for LTD and Equity
$mm
6,628.9
Model Plugs:
Revolver and Excess Cash & Mar. Sec.
Excess Cash & Mar. Sec.
Excess Cash & Mar. Sec Beginning of Period
$mm
16,183.2
Less Required
Financing after LTD and Equity
$mm
6,628.9
Excess Cash and Mar. Sec. Available to Paydown Revolver
$mm
9,554.3
Revolver
Beginning of period
$mm
7.0
Less min(Cash Available, Revolver (BOP))
$mm
(99.5)
End of period
$mm
0.0
106.5
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Fiscal year
2015A
2016P
Fiscal year end date
Units
6/30/2015
6/30/2016
Ratios
Net Profit Margin (NI/S)
%
7.20%
7.76%
Asset Turnover
(S/A)
%
0.95
0.87
Equity Multiplier (A/E)
%
3.12
3.12
Return on Equity
%
21.37%
20.95%
Reinvestment Rate (K)
%
Return on Invested Capital
%
2017P
2018P
2019P
2020P Forecast
6/30/2017
7/1/2017
7/2/2017
7/3/2017
Factor
Comment
149,169.7
161,103.3
173,991.6
187,910.9
8%
% growth
114,860.7
124,049.5
133,973.5
144,691.4
34,309.0
37,053.8
40,018.1
43,219.5
23.0%
% of Sales
8,204.3
8,860.7
9,569.5
10,335.1
5.5%
% of Sales
26,104.7
28,193.1
30,448.5
32,884.4
4,841.3
5,236.6
5,663.5
6,124.6
5.3%
of last year's Net Plant, Property and Equipm
21,263.4
22,956.5
24,785.0
26,759.8
274.0
180.8
96.8
22.7
2.0%
Rate earned on last year's Required Cash an
3,114.2
2,744.5
2,368.1
1,991.6
5.0%
Rate paid on last year's Revolver and LTD
18,423.2
20,392.8
22,513.7
24,790.9
7,369.3
8,157.1
9,005.5
9,916.3
40.0%
% of EBT, but never negative
11,053.9
12,235.7
13,508.2
14,874.5
2,763.5
3,058.9
3,377.1
3,718.6
25.0%
% of Net Income, but is never negative
8,290.4
9,176.7
10,131.2
11,155.9
1,600.0
1,600.0
1,600.0
1,600.0
1600
Assume no change
40.0%
40.0%
40.0%
40.0%
2017P
2018P
2019P
2020P Forecast
6/30/2017
7/1/2017
7/2/2017
7/3/2017
Factor
4,475.1
4,833.1
5,219.7
5,637.3
3.0%
% of Sales
4,565.1
7.9
(4,085.5)
(7,684.3)
Plug
29,833.9
32,220.7
34,798.3
37,582.2
20.0%
% of Sales
27,566.6
29,771.9
32,153.6
34,725.9
24.0%
% of COGS
1,491.7
1,611.0
1,739.9
1,879.1
1.0%
% of Sales
67,932.4
68,444.6
69,826.1
72,140.3
98,804.1
106,859.3
115,558.8
124,954.4
5.0%
CapEx as % of Sales
98,804.1
106,859.3
115,558.8
124,954.4
166,736.5
175,303.9
185,384.9
197,094.6
20,674.9
22,328.9
24,115.2
26,044.5
18.0%
% of COGS
106.5
78.1
49.0
19.2
Plug
20,781.4
22,407.0
24,164.2
26,063.7
54,783.3
47,283.3
39,783.3
32,283.3
(7,500.0)
Decreases by $7500 each year according to d
75,564.7
69,690.3
63,947.5
58,347.0
31,260.0
31,260.0
31,260.0
31,260.0
Remains Constant
28,175.5
37,352.2
47,483.4
58,639.3
59,435.5
68,612.2
78,743.4
89,899.3
135,000.2
138,302.6
142,690.9
148,246.3
31,736.3
37,001.3
42,694.0
48,848.4
2017P
2018P
2019P
2020P
6/30/2017
7/1/2017
7/2/2017
7/3/2017
11,053.9
12,235.7
13,508.2
14,874.5
4,841.3
5,236.6
5,663.5
6,124.6
331.5
358.0
386.6
417.6
2,209.9
2,386.7
2,577.7
2,783.9
2,042.0
2,205.3
2,381.8
2,572.3
110.5
119.3
128.9
139.2
1,531.5
1,654.0
1,786.3
1,929.2
12,732.8
14,056.9
15,483.2
17,015.4
7,458.5
8,055.2
8,699.6
9,395.5
7,458.5
8,055.2
8,699.6
9,395.5
106.5
(28.4)
(29.1)
(29.8)
(7,500.0)
(7,500.0)
(7,500.0)
(7,500.0)
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
2,763.5
3,058.9
3,377.1
3,718.6
(10,157.0)
(10,587.3)
(10,906.2)
(11,248.4)
(4,882.6)
(4,585.6)
(4,122.6)
(3,628.6)
9,554.3
4,671.6
86.0
(4,036.5)
(4,882.6)
(4,585.6)
(4,122.6)
(3,628.6)
4,671.6
86.0
(4,036.5)
(7,665.1)
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2017P
2018P
2019P
2020P
6/30/2017
7/1/2017
7/2/2017
7/3/2017
331.5
358.0
386.6
417.6
2,209.9
2,386.7
2,577.7
2,783.9
2,042.0
2,205.3
2,381.8
2,572.3
110.5
119.3
128.9
139.2
4,693.9
5,069.4
5,474.9
5,912.9
7,458.5
8,055.2
8,699.6
9,395.5
12,152.4
13,124.5
14,174.5
15,308.5
1,531.5
1,654.0
1,786.3
1,929.2
1,531.5
1,654.0
1,786.3
1,929.2
11,053.9
12,235.7
13,508.2
14,874.5
4,841.3
5,236.6
5,663.5
6,124.6
2,763.5
3,058.9
3,377.1
3,718.6
13,131.7
14,413.4
15,794.7
17,280.5
14,663.2
16,067.4
17,581.0
19,209.7
(2,510.9)
(2,942.8)
(3,406.5)
(3,901.2)
2017P
2018P
2019P
2020P
6/30/2017
7/1/2017
7/2/2017
7/3/2017
(7,500.0)
(7,500.0)
(7,500.0)
(7,500.0)
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
4,989.1
4,557.2
4,093.5
3,598.8
9,554.3
4,565.1
7.9
(4,085.5)
4,989.1
4,557.2
4,093.5
3,598.8
4,565.1
7.9
(4,085.5)
(7,684.3)
106.5
78.1
49.0
19.2
28.4
29.1
29.8
19.2
78.1
49.0
19.2
0.0
2017P
2018P
2019P
2020P
6/30/2017
7/1/2017
7/2/2017
7/3/2017
7.41%
7.59%
7.76%
7.92%
0.89
0.92
0.94
0.95
2.81
2.55
2.35
2.19
18.60%
17.83%
17.15%
16.55%
ment
nd Excess Cash and Markatable Securities
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debt contracts.
Inglis' Gold Mines
Company Name
Inglis' Gold Mines
Ticker
IGM
Latest Fiscal year end date
6/30/2015
Valuation Date
8/30/2015
Circuit Breaker
ON
Assumptions
1) Changing Capital Structure across the 5 explicit forecast years
2) Book Value of Debt
3) Book Value of Equity
Weighted Average Cost of Capital
Fiscal year
2015A
2016P
2017P
2018P
2019P
2020P
2021P
Fiscal year end date
Units
6/30/2015
6/30/2016 6/30/2017 6/30/2018 6/30/2019 6/30/2020
6/30/2021
Cost of Debt
Before Tax Required Return on Debt
%
5.0%
5.0%
5.0%
5.0%
5.0%
5.0%
Tax Rate
%
33%
40%
40%
40%
40%
40%
After Tax Rquired Return on Debt
%
3.4%
3.0%
3.0%
3.0%
3.0%
3.0%
Cost of Equity
Risk Free Interst Rate
%
2.0%
2.0%
2.0%
2.0%
2.0%
2.0%
10-year US T-Bond yield
Market Risk Premium
%
5.5%
5.5%
5.5%
5.5%
5.5%
5.5%
Average of [ long term geometric return on S&P500, Implied Rate on S&P500]
beta (unlevered)
1.20
1.20
1.20
1.20
1.15
1.10
Assumed beta of the unlevered firm (i.e. beta of assets)
Net Debt
$mm
830.5
788.0
776.4
764.5
752.4
751.4 Book Value
Equity Value
$mm
1330.9
1384.1
1454.3
1526.3
1600.0
1675.6
Book Value
Debt / Equity Ratio
%
62.4%
56.9%
53.4%
50.1%
47.0%
44.8% Using book
beta (levered)
0.09
0.08
0.08
0.08
0.08
0.08 b(L) = b(U)(1+D/E(1-T))
Cost of Equity (CAPM)
%
0.2%
0.2%
0.2%
0.2%
0.2%
0.2%
r = rf+b(L)(rm-rf)
Weighted Average Cost of Capital
Net Debt Weight (% of total)
%
38.4%
36.3%
34.8%
33.4%
32.0%
31.0% Debt/(Debt+Equity)
Equity Weight (% ot total)
%
61.6%
63.7%
65.2%
66.6%
68.0%
69.0% Equity/(Debt+Equity)
WACC
%
12.8%
14.6%
14.0%
13.5%
12.9%
12.5%
Debt Weight*After-Tax Cost of Debt+ Equity Weight*Required Return on Equity
Fiscal year
2015A
2016P
2017P
2018P
2019P
2020P
2021P
Fiscal year end date
Units
6/30/2015
6/30/2016 6/30/2017 6/30/2018 6/30/2019 6/30/2020
6/30/2021
Free Cash Flow to Firm
EBIT
$mm
16915.8
20956.4279 21263.386 22956.462 24784.985 26759.789
0
Tax Rate
%
33.0%
40.0%
40.0%
40.0%
40.0%
40.0%
0.0%
EBIT(1-T)
$mm
11,333.6
12,573.9
12,758.0
13,773.9
14,871.0
16,055.9
Add Deferred Tax
$mm
(72.3)
1.8
8.6
8.8
9.1
9.3
NOPLAT
$mm
11,261.3
12,575.7
12,766.6
13,782.7
14,880.0
16,065.2
% growth
%
11.7%
1.5%
8.0%
8.0%
8.0%
Add Depreciation Expense
$mm
2,247.8
3,214.6
4,841.3
5,236.6
5,663.5
6,124.6
Gross Cash Flow
$mm
13,509.1
15,790.3
17,607.9
19,019.3
20,543.6
22,189.8
Less Increase in Account Receivables
$mm
(4,348.2)
3.0
3.1
3.2
3.3
Less Increase in Inventories
$mm
30.6
4,420.5
4.1
4.3
4.4
4.5
Less Increase in Other Current Assets
$mm
5.4
151.1
3.9
4.0
4.2
4.3
Add Increase in Accounts Payable
$mm
(5.8)
(2,597.7)
4.8
4.9
5.1
5.2
Add Increase in Accured Exp. & Other Current Liab
$mm
103.6
(2,597.7)
2.7
2.7
2.8
2.9
Increase in Non-Cash Working Capital
$mm
(61.8)
5,418.7
3.7
3.8
3.9
4.0
Less CapEx
$mm
4,300.0
6,906.0
7,458.5
8,055.2
8,699.6
9,395.5
Less Investment in Other Long Term Assets
$mm
161.1
82.0
84.0
86.0
88.2
90.4
Total Capital Investments
$mm
4,461.1
6,988.0
7,542.5
8,141.2
8,787.8
9,485.9
Total Reinvestment in Firm
$mm
4,399.3
12,406.7
7,546.1
8,145.0
8,791.6
9,489.9
Reinvestment Rate (K)
%
19.1%
73.1%
21.2%
21.1%
21.0%
0.0%
Return on Invested Capital
%
581.8%
587.7%
617.9%
649.6%
682.9%
Free Cash Flow to Firm
$mm
9,109.8
3,383.6
10,061.8
10,874.3
11,752.0
12,699.9
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% growth
%
-62.9%
197.4%
8.1%
8.1%
8.1%
Financing Cash Flows
Increase in Cash and Markatable Securities
$ mm
13,754.8
(5,975.1)
(4,551.1)
(4,227.6)
(3,735.9)
(3,211.0)
Less After Tax Interest Income (Int. Inc. (1-Tc)) $ mm
558.9
236.1
164.4
108.5
58.1
13.6
Add After Tax Interest Expense (Int. Exp. (1-Tc)$ mm
2,680.3
2,093.5
1,868.5
1,646.7
1,420.8
1,195.0
Less Net New Debt
$ mm
7,500.0
(7,500.0)
(7,393.5)
(7,528.4)
(7,529.1)
(7,529.8)
Add Dividends
$ mm
1,842.4
2,679.1
2,763.5
3,058.9
3,377.1
3,718.6
Less Net New Shares
$ mm
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Total Financing Cash Flows
$ mm
10,218.6
6,061.4
7,310.0
7,897.9
8,533.0
9,218.8
Fiscal year
Valuation Date
2016P
2017P
2018P
2019P
2020P
2020P
Fiscal year end date
Units
8/30/2015
6/30/2016 6/30/2017 6/30/2018 6/30/2019 6/30/2020
6/30/2021
Valuation
Discount Period
years
115.67
116.50
117.50
118.50
119.50
120.50
Length of each period
Length of each p
0.83
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
FCFF
3,383.6
10,061.8
10,874.3
11,752.0
16,065.2
Enterprise Value (End of Period)
$mm
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Assumptions
Assumed Growth Rate of NOPLAT in Continuin%
2.00%
Assumed ROIC
%
7.50%
WACC
%
7.50%
Implied Reinvestment Rate
%
26.7%
Normalized Cash Flows
NOPLAT in last Forecast Period, t
$mm
16,065.2
Normalized FCFF in last Forecast Period, t
$mm
16,065.2
NOPLAT (t+1)
$mm
17270.1
Normalized FCFF in first continuing value Perio$mm
17,270.1
Net Debt
Revolver
$mm
346.5
348.3
356.9
365.7
374.8
384.1
Long Term Debt
$mm
632.6 562.62678815 545.46237 527.89178 509.91181 502.90844
Less Required Operating Cash
$mm
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Less Excess Cash and Marketable Securities
$mm
148.6
122.9
126.0
129.1
132.3
135.6
Net Debt
$mm
830.525
788.0
776.4
764.5
752.4
751.4
Equity Value
Enterprise Value
$mm
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Less Net Debt
$mm
830.525
788.0
776.4
764.5
752.4
751.4
Equity Value
$mm
(830.5)
(788.0)
(776.4)
(764.5)
(752.4)
(751.4)
Shares Outstanding
mm
1600
1600
1600
1600
1600
1600
Equity Value per Share
$
$
(0.52) $
(0.49) $
(0.49) $
(0.48) $
(0.47) $
(0.47)
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