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Risk Factor Model

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Title: Development of a risk factor-based model for head and neck squamous cell carcinoma: A case- control study
Abstract:
Objectives: This study explores the effects of various risk factors in the development of head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC) and investigates a screening model using risk scores, to identify individuals at high risk in an Iranian population.
Methods: A total of 148 newly diagnosed HNSCC patients, and 266 age and gender matched healthy controls participated in this case-control study. All data about potential predictors of HNSCC has been collected using structured questionnaire. Adjusted odds ratios were calculated for significant risk factors. Risk score was defined based on the adjusted odds ratio for each …show more content…

Total risk score for each individual ranged from 0 to 51. Four models have been plotted to find the most accurate risk factor based model. Three out of 4 models had reasonable predictive ability (AUC > 0.7). Combination of all significant risk factors had the highest sensitivity (91.89), however the highest specificity (79.70) has been indicated in the combination of habit, diet and SES (model …show more content…

Information were obtained regarding demographic and socio-economic characteristics (age, gender, marital status, education, employment, place of residency, assets, income satisfaction and financial management), life-course smoking, second hand smoking (in childhood and adulthood), and other types of tobacco and alcohol consumption, fruit and vegetable ( raw, cooked) diet and oral hygiene practices (brushing and flossing), weekly exercise, lip sunscreen usage, history of oral sex, brief medical history, and family history of cancer. The ABO blood group and RH in both groups were recorded from medical history or identification documents, whenever possible and otherwise defined with slide agglutination and a blood group test. The easy to recall questions were used to avoid recall bias. We requested the participants to restrict the information to the time point before to the onset of symptoms of oral cancer. A trained interviewer was available for assistance and response to the participants’

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