b) Blue Star United, a major electronics distributor, has hired Southwest Forecasters, a market research firm, to predict the level of demand for its new product that combines cell phone and complete Internet capabilities at a price substantially below its major competitors. As part of its deliverables, Southwest provides a rating of Poor, Fair, or Good, on the basis of its research. Prior to engaging Southwest Blue Star, management concluded the following probabilities for the market-demand levels: P(Low)== P(sl) = 0.1 P(Moderate) = P(s2) = 0.5 P(High) = P(s3) = 0.4 Southwest completes its study and concludes that the market potential for this product is poor. What conclusion should Blue Star reach based on the market-study results? Proportion of Assessments Provided by a Market-Research Organization Prior to Various Levels of Market Demand (Conditional Probabilities) are given in, the following table: Market Demand That Actually Occurred After Assessment Was Provided Low Demand (s1) Moderate Demand (s2) 0.3 High Demand (s3) 0.1 Assessment Poor Fair 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.7 Good 0.3

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b) Blue Star United, a major electronics distributor, has hired Southwest Forecasters, a market research firm, to predict the
level of demand for its new product that combines cell phone and complete Internet capabilities at a price substantially
below its major competitors. As part of its deliverables, Southwest provides a rating of Poor, Fair, or Good, on the basis
of its research. Prior to engaging Southwest Blue Star, management concluded the following probabilities for the
market-demand levels:
P(Low)== P(s1) = 0.1 P(Moderate) = P(s2) = 0.5 P(High) = P(s3) = 0.4
Southwest completes its study and concludes that the market potential for this product is poor. What conclusion should Blue Star
reach based on the market-study results?
Proportion of Assessments Provided by a Market-Research Organization Prior to Various Levels of Market Demand
(Conditional Probabilities) are given in, the following table:
Market Demand That Actually Occurred After Assessment Was Provided
Moderate Demand (s2)
Assessment
Low Demand (s1)
0.6
High Demand (s3)
0.1
0.2
Poor
0.3
Fair
0.2
0.4
Good
0.2
0.3
0.7
Transcribed Image Text:b) Blue Star United, a major electronics distributor, has hired Southwest Forecasters, a market research firm, to predict the level of demand for its new product that combines cell phone and complete Internet capabilities at a price substantially below its major competitors. As part of its deliverables, Southwest provides a rating of Poor, Fair, or Good, on the basis of its research. Prior to engaging Southwest Blue Star, management concluded the following probabilities for the market-demand levels: P(Low)== P(s1) = 0.1 P(Moderate) = P(s2) = 0.5 P(High) = P(s3) = 0.4 Southwest completes its study and concludes that the market potential for this product is poor. What conclusion should Blue Star reach based on the market-study results? Proportion of Assessments Provided by a Market-Research Organization Prior to Various Levels of Market Demand (Conditional Probabilities) are given in, the following table: Market Demand That Actually Occurred After Assessment Was Provided Moderate Demand (s2) Assessment Low Demand (s1) 0.6 High Demand (s3) 0.1 0.2 Poor 0.3 Fair 0.2 0.4 Good 0.2 0.3 0.7
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