For the Hawkins Company, the monthly percentages of all shipments received on time over the past 12 months are 80, 82, 84, 83, 83, 84, 85, 84, 82, 83, 84, and 83. Compare a three-month moving average forecast with an exponential smoothing forecast for α = 0.2. Which provides the better forecasts using MSE as the measure of model accuracy? Do not round your interim computations and round your final answers to three decimal places.   Moving average Exponential smoothing MSE       What is the forecast for next month? If required, round your answer to two decimal places.

College Algebra
1st Edition
ISBN:9781938168383
Author:Jay Abramson
Publisher:Jay Abramson
Chapter6: Exponential And Logarithmic Functions
Section6.8: Fitting Exponential Models To Data
Problem 1TI: Table 2 shows a recent graduate’s credit card balance each month after graduation. a. Use...
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For the Hawkins Company, the monthly percentages of all shipments received on time over the past 12 months are 80, 82, 84, 83, 83, 84, 85, 84, 82, 83, 84, and 83.

  1. Compare a three-month moving average forecast with an exponential smoothing forecast for α = 0.2. Which provides the better forecasts using MSE as the measure of model accuracy? Do not round your interim computations and round your final answers to three decimal places.
 

Moving
average

Exponential
smoothing

MSE

   


 

What is the forecast for next month? If required, round your answer to two decimal places.

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