CORPORATE FIN.(LL)-W/ACCESS >CUSTOM<
CORPORATE FIN.(LL)-W/ACCESS >CUSTOM<
11th Edition
ISBN: 9781260269901
Author: Ross
Publisher: MCG CUSTOM
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Chapter 10, Problem 27QP

Using Probability Distributions Suppose the returns on large-company stocks are normally distributed. Based on the historical record, use the NORMDIST function in Excel® to determine the probability that in any given year you will lose money by investing in common stock.

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Each stock's rate of return in a given year consists of a dividend yield (which might be zero) plus a capital gains yield (which could be positive, negative, or zero). Such returns are calculated for all the stocks in the S&P 500. A weighted average of those returns, using each stock's total market value, is then calculated, and that average return is often used as an indicator of the "return on the market."
What is the standard deviation of the returns on a stock given the following information? Could you please show the work? State of Economy Probability of state of Economy Rate of return if state occurs Boom 0.3000 0.1500 Normal  0.6500 0.1200 Recession 0.0500 0.0600 Average 0.3333 0.1100
based on the current variables that may impact stock demand, such as inflation, budget deficit, monetary policies, political situations, and investor's sentiment generally. Do you believe that stock prices will grow or drop this year's end based on these conditions? Justify your response using logic. Which of the following factors do you believe will have the greatest influence on stock prices?

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