INVESTMENTS(LL)W/CONNECT
11th Edition
ISBN: 9781260433920
Author: Bodie
Publisher: McGraw-Hill Publishing Co.
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Chapter 11, Problem 18PS
Summary Introduction
To calculate: Change in the price of the stock when market index rises by
Introduction: Basically change is the difference of final to the initial value. Here the stock price change is the difference of the price when market index changes. Change is positive when final price is more than the initial value.
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An index model regression applied to past monthly returns in Ford's stock price produces the following estimates, which are believed
to be stable over time:
rF = 0.1% + 1.1rM
If the market index subsequently rises by 9.0% and Ford's stock price rises by 9%, what is the abnormal change in Ford's stock price?
(Negative value should be indicated by a minus sign. Do not round intermediate calculations. Round your answer to 2 decimal
places.)
Abnormal return
%
Consider an event study of the following stock.
Realised return
Market return
t = 0 (event day)
0.1
0.1
t =1
0.06
0.04
t = 2
0.03
0.02
t = 3
0.015
0.01
Suppose that the estimated market model is . What is the CAR (cumulative abnormal returns) for t = 3?
We know the following expected returns for stocks A and B, given the different states of the economy:
State(s) Probability E(rA,s) E(rB,s)
Recession 0.1-0.06 0.04
Normal 0.5 0.09 0.07
Expansion 0.4 0.17 0.11
What is the standard deviation of returns for stock B?
Chapter 11 Solutions
INVESTMENTS(LL)W/CONNECT
Ch. 11 - Prob. 1PSCh. 11 - Prob. 2PSCh. 11 - Prob. 3PSCh. 11 - Prob. 4PSCh. 11 - Prob. 5PSCh. 11 - Prob. 6PSCh. 11 - Prob. 7PSCh. 11 - Prob. 8PSCh. 11 - Prob. 9PSCh. 11 - Prob. 10PS
Ch. 11 - Prob. 11PSCh. 11 - Prob. 12PSCh. 11 - Prob. 13PSCh. 11 - Prob. 14PSCh. 11 - Prob. 15PSCh. 11 - Prob. 16PSCh. 11 - Prob. 17PSCh. 11 - Prob. 18PSCh. 11 - Prob. 19PSCh. 11 - Prob. 20PSCh. 11 - Prob. 21PSCh. 11 - Prob. 22PSCh. 11 - Prob. 23PSCh. 11 - Prob. 24PSCh. 11 - Prob. 25PSCh. 11 - Prob. 26PSCh. 11 - Prob. 27PSCh. 11 - Prob. 28PSCh. 11 - Prob. 29PSCh. 11 - Prob. 1CPCh. 11 - Prob. 2CPCh. 11 - Prob. 3CPCh. 11 - Prob. 4CPCh. 11 - Prob. 5CPCh. 11 - Prob. 6CPCh. 11 - Prob. 7CPCh. 11 - Prob. 8CPCh. 11 - Prob. 9CPCh. 11 - Prob. 10CP
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- Abnormal returns, if a stock has a(Alpha)=.004, b(Beta)=1.2, A. Using the market model (eq. 7.4), find the expected percent return if the market increases by 2%. B. If the actual return is 2%, 3%, or 4%, calculate the abnormal return.arrow_forwardAn index model regression applied to past monthly returns in Ford’s stock price produces the following estimates, which are believed to be stable over time:rF = .10% + 1.1rMIf the market index subsequently rises by 8% and Ford’s stock price rises by 7%, what is the abnormal change in Ford’s stock price?arrow_forwardXYZ stock's returns will have the following probability distribution during the possible states of the economy.a. Calculate the expected return on XYZ stock.b. Calculate the standard devivation of XYZ stock returns.c. Calculate the coefficient of variation of XYZ stock.State of Economy Probability Return Boom 15% 22.75% Normal 70% 12.60% Recession 15% -15.20% Expected Return: % Standard Deviation: Coefficient of Variation:arrow_forward
- A challenge we run into when forecasting future stock returns is that stock returns compound. So, when using historical averages to forecast the future, we need to average together the arithmetic and geometric average returns using Blume's Formula: R(T) = T GeoAvg + NT Arith Avg N-1 In this formula, N is the number of historical annual returns you are using to calculate your averages and T is the number of future annual returns you are forecasting. Suppose you gather the following prices for a stock in order to calculate the last 10 (N = 10) annual returns. The stock does not pay dividends. Time 0 1 Time 0 calculate the last 10 (N=10) annual returns. The stock does not pay dividends. 1 2 3 4 5 10 6 . 7 8 9 10 Price $23.16 $32.81 Price $23.16 $32.81 $33.63 $36.83 $41.95 $41.04 $33.83 $37.45 $30.56 $29.90 $47.93 Using Blume's formula, what is the expected return per year for the next 4 years (T = 4)? Enter your answer as a percentage, rounded to the nearest 0.0001. For example, for…arrow_forwardSuppose that, after conducting an analysis of past stock prices, you come up with the following observations. Which would appear to contradict the weak form of the efficient market hypothesis? A. The average rate of return is significantly greater than zero. B. The correlation between the return during a given week and the return during the following week is zero. C. One could have made superior returns by buying stock after a 10% rise in price and selling after a 10% fall. D. One could have made higher-than-average capital gains by holding stocks with low dividend yields.arrow_forwardSuppose that, after conducting an analysis of past stock prices, you come up with the following observations. Which would appear to contradict the weak form of the efficient market hypothesis? Explain.a. The average rate of return is significantly greater than zero.b. The correlation between the return during a given week and the return during the following week is zero.c. One could have made superior returns by buying stock after a 10% rise in price and selling after a 10% fall.d. One could have made higher-than-average capital gains by holding stocks with low dividend yields.arrow_forward
- XYZ stock's returns will have the following probability distribution during the possible states of the economy.a. Calculate the expected return on XYZ stock.b. Calculate the standard devivation of XYZ stock returns.c. Calculate the coefficient of variation of XYZ stock.State of Economy Probability Return Boom 30% 32.50% Normal 40% 10.25% Recession 30% -15.75%arrow_forwardAn analyst has estimated how a particular stock’s return will vary depending on what will happen to the economy. What is the standard deviation? STATE OF THEECONOMY PROBABILITY OFSTATE OCCURRING STOCK'S EXPECTEDRATE IF THISSTATE OCCURS Recession Below Average Average Above Average Boom .10 .20 .40 .20 .10 (.60) (.10) .15 .40 .90arrow_forwardSuppose your expectations regarding the stock price are as follows: State of the Market Boom Normal growth Recession. Probability Ending Price 0.30 $ 140 0.22 110 0.48 80 Mean Standard deviation. Use the equations E (r) = Ep (s) r(s) and o² = Ep (s) [r(s) - E(r)]² to compute the mean and standard deviation of the HPR on stocks. Note: Do not round intermediate calculations. Round your answers to 2 decimal places. HPR (including dividends) 55.5% 15.5 -14.0 % %arrow_forward
- A. If a stock costs $55 one month and drops to $45 the next month, what is the expected stock price the next month, if we assume the stock follows a random walk? B. Explain both technical and fundamental analysis and what form of the efficient market hypothesis corresponds to each.arrow_forwardSuppose your expectations regarding the stock price are as follows: HPR (including dividends) State of the Market Boom Normal growth Recession Probability Ending Price 0.35 0.30 0.35 Mean Standard deviation Use the equations E (r) = Ep (s) r(s) and o² = Ep (s) [r(s) – E(r)]² to compute the mean and standard deviation of the HPR S S on stocks. Note: Do not round intermediate calculations. Round your answers to 2 decimal places. do do $ 140 110 80 % 44.5% 14.0 -16.5 %arrow_forwardConsider the following information: Economy Probability of State of Economy Rate of Return if State Occurs Stock A Stock B Recession .20 .010 −.35 Normal .55 .090 .25 Boom .25 .240 .48 Calculate the expected return for the two stocks. Calculate the standard deviation for the two stocks.arrow_forward
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Dividend disocunt model (DDM); Author: Edspira;https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TlH3_iOHX3s;License: Standard YouTube License, CC-BY