PRIN.OF CORPORATE FINANCE
PRIN.OF CORPORATE FINANCE
13th Edition
ISBN: 9781260013900
Author: BREALEY
Publisher: RENT MCG
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Chapter 11, Problem 5PS

Biased forecasts Look back to the cash flows for projects F and G in Section 5-3. The cost of capital was assumed to be 10%. Assume that the forecasted cash flows for projects of this type are overstated by 8% on average. That is, the forecast for each cash flow from each project should be reduced by 8%. But a lazy financial manager, unwilling to take the time to argue with the projects’ sponsors, instructs them to use a discount rate of 18%.

  1. a. What are the projects’ true NPVs?
  2. b. What are the NPVs at the 18% discount rate?
  3. c. Are there any circumstances in which the 18% discount rate would give the correct NPVs? (Hint: Could upward bias be more severe for more-distant cash flows?)
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Last month, Lloyd's Systems analyzed the project whose cash flows are shown below. However, before the decision to accept or reject the project, the Federal Reserve took actions that changed interest rates and therefore the firm's WACC. The Fed's action did not affect the forecasted cash flows. By how much did the change in the WACC affect the project's forecasted NPV? Note that a project's projected NPV can be negative, in which case it should be rejected. Old WACC: 10.00%   New WACC: 9.50% Year 0     1   2   3   Cash flows -$1,000 $410 $410 $410
Last month, Lloyd’s Systems analyzed the project whose cash flows are shown below. However, before the decision to accept or reject the project, the Federal Reserve took actions that changed interest rates and therefore the firm’s WACC. The Fed’s action did not affect the forecasted cash flows. By how much did the change in the WACC affect the project’s forecasted NPV? Note that a project’s projected NPV can be negative, in which case it should be rejected. Old WACC: 10.00% New WACC: 9.50% Year 0 1 2 3 Cash flows -$1,000 $410 $410 $410 Select one: a. $9.04 b. $10.13 c. $11.12 d. $10.22 e. $10.85
Why are interest charges not deducted when a project’s cash flows for use in a capital budgeting analysis are calculated? Most firms generate cash inflows every day, not just once at the end of the year. In capital budgeting, should we recognize this fact by estimating daily project cash flows and then using them in the analysis? If we do not, are our results biased? If so, would the NPV be biased up or down? Explain.
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