Modern Business Statistics with Microsoft Excel (MindTap Course List)
5th Edition
ISBN: 9781285433301
Author: David R. Anderson, Dennis J. Sweeney, Thomas A. Williams
Publisher: Cengage Learning
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Textbook Question
Chapter 17.2, Problem 4E
Consider the following time series data.
| Month | 1 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
| Value | 24 13 | 20 | 12 | 19 | 23 | 15 |
- a. Compute MSE using the most recent value as the forecast for the next period. What is the forecast for month 8?
- b. Compute MSE using the average of all the data available as the forecast for the next period. What is the forecast for month 8?
- c. Which method appears to provide the better forecast?
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Consider the following time series data:
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
26
15
22
14
21
25
17
PART 1.Compute MSE using the most recent value as the forecast for the next period and then calculate the forecast for month 8.
PART 2.Compute MSE using the average of all the data available as the forecast for the next period. What is the forecast for month 8?
consider the following time series data.Month 1 2 3 4 5 6 7Value 24 13 20 12 19 23 15a. compute MSe using the most recent value as the forecast for the next period. Whatis the forecast for month 8?b. compute MSe using the average of all the data available as the forecast for the nextperiod. What is the forecast for month 8?c. Which method appears to provide the better forecast?
Consider the following time series data:
Month
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Value
23
14
19
12
20
24
15
(a)
Compute MSE using the most recent value as the forecast for the next period.
If required, round your answer to one decimal place.
What is the forecast for month 8?
If required, round your answer to one decimal place. Do not round intermediate calculation.
(b)
Compute MSE using the average of all the data available as the forecast for the next period.
If required, round your answer to one decimal place. Do not round intermediate calculation.
What is the forecast for month 8?
If required, round your answer to one decimal place.
(c)
Which method appears to provide the better forecast?
- Select your answer -NaïveAll data averageItem 5
Chapter 17 Solutions
Modern Business Statistics with Microsoft Excel (MindTap Course List)
Ch. 17.2 - 1. Consider the following time series...Ch. 17.2 - 2. Refer to the time series data in exercise 1....Ch. 17.2 - Prob. 3ECh. 17.2 - 4. Consider the following time series...Ch. 17.3 - Consider the following time series...Ch. 17.3 - Consider the following time series...Ch. 17.3 - Refer to the gasoline sales time series data in...Ch. 17.3 - Prob. 8ECh. 17.3 - 9. With the gasoline time series data from Table...Ch. 17.3 - 10. With a smoothing constant of α = .2, equation...
Ch. 17.3 - For the Hawkins Company, the monthly percentages...Ch. 17.3 - Corporate triple-A bond interest rates for 12...Ch. 17.3 - The values of Alabama building contracts (in $...Ch. 17.3 - The following time series shows the sales of a...Ch. 17.3 - Ten weeks of data on the Commodity Futures Index...Ch. 17.3 - Prob. 16ECh. 17.4 - Consider the following time series...Ch. 17.4 - Prob. 18ECh. 17.4 - Prob. 19ECh. 17.4 - Prob. 20ECh. 17.4 - Prob. 21ECh. 17.4 - Prob. 22ECh. 17.4 - The president of a small manufacturing firm is...Ch. 17.4 - FRED (Federal Reserve Economic Data), a database...Ch. 17.4 - Prob. 25ECh. 17.4 - Giovanni Food Products produces and sells frozen...Ch. 17.4 - The number of users of Facebook from 2004 through...Ch. 17.5 - Consider the following time series.
Construct a...Ch. 17.5 - Consider the following time series...Ch. 17.5 - The quarterly sales data (number of copies sold)...Ch. 17.5 - Air pollution control specialists in southern...Ch. 17.5 - South Shore Construction builds permanent docks...Ch. 17.5 - Prob. 33ECh. 17.5 - Prob. 34ECh. 17.6 - Consider the following time series...Ch. 17.6 - Refer to exercise 35.
Deseasonalize the time...Ch. 17.6 - The quarterly sales data (number of copies sold)...Ch. 17.6 - Three years of monthly lawn-maintenance expenses...Ch. 17.6 - Air pollution control specialists in southern...Ch. 17.6 - Electric power consumption is measured in...Ch. 17 - The weekly demand (in cases) for a particular...Ch. 17 - The following table reports the percentage of...Ch. 17 - United Dairies, Inc., supplies milk to several...Ch. 17 - Prob. 44SECh. 17 - The Garden Avenue Seven sells CDs of its musical...Ch. 17 - The Mayfair Department Store in Davenport, Iowa,...Ch. 17 - Prob. 47SECh. 17 - The Costello Music Company has been in business...Ch. 17 - Consider the Costello Music Company problem in...Ch. 17 - Prob. 50SECh. 17 - Refer to the Costello Music Company time series in...Ch. 17 - Prob. 52SECh. 17 - Refer to the Hudson Marine problem in exercise 52....Ch. 17 - Refer to the Hudson Marine problem in exercise...Ch. 17 - Refer to the Hudson Marine data in exercise...Ch. 17 - Forecasting Food and Beverage Sales
The Vintage...Ch. 17 - The Carlson Department Store suffered heavy damage...
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- Table 6 shows the year and the number ofpeople unemployed in a particular city for several years. Determine whether the trend appears linear. If so, and assuming the trend continues, in what year will the number of unemployed reach 5 people?arrow_forwardUrban Travel Times Population of cities and driving times are related, as shown in the accompanying table, which shows the 1960 population N, in thousands, for several cities, together with the average time T, in minutes, sent by residents driving to work. City Population N Driving time T Los Angeles 6489 16.8 Pittsburgh 1804 12.6 Washington 1808 14.3 Hutchinson 38 6.1 Nashville 347 10.8 Tallahassee 48 7.3 An analysis of these data, along with data from 17 other cities in the United States and Canada, led to a power model of average driving time as a function of population. a Construct a power model of driving time in minutes as a function of population measured in thousands b Is average driving time in Pittsburgh more or less than would be expected from its population? c If you wish to move to a smaller city to reduce your average driving time to work by 25, how much smaller should the city be?arrow_forwardConsider the following time series data: Month 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Value 23 14 19 12 20 24 15 (a) Compute MSE using the most recent value as the forecast for the next period. If required, round your answer to one decimal place. What is the forecast for month 8? If required, round your answer to one decimal place. Do not round intermediate calculation. (b) Compute MSE using the average of all the data available as the forecast for the next period. If required, round your answer to one decimal place. Do not round intermediate calculation. What is the forecast for month 8? If required, round your answer to one decimal place.arrow_forward
- Consider the following time series data: Month 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Value 24 12 20 11 19 24 16 (a) Compute MSE using the most recent value as the forecast for the next period. If required, round your answer to one decimal place. What is the forecast for month 8? If required, round your answer to one decimal place. Do not round intermediate calculation. (b) Compute MSE using the average of all the data available as the forecast for the next period. If required, round your answer to one decimal place. Do not round intermediate calculation. What is the forecast for month 8? If required, round your answer to one decimal place. (c) Which method appears to provide the better forecast? All Data average or Naiivearrow_forwardConsider the following time series data: Month 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Value 25 12 19 13 18 22 14 (a) Compute MSE using the most recent value as the forecast for the next period. If required, round your answer to one decimal place. What is the forecast for month 8? If required, round your answer to one decimal place. Do not round intermediate calculation. (b) Compute MSE using the average of all the data available as the forecast for the next period. If required, round your answer to one decimal place. Do not round intermediate calculation. What is the forecast for month 8? If required, round your answer to one decimal place. (c) Which method appears to parrow_forwardConsider the following time series data. Week 1 2 3 4 5 6 Value 18 13 16 11 17 14 Construct a time series plot. What type of pattern exist in the data? Develop a three-week moving average for this time series. Compute MSE and forecast for week 7. Use a = 0.2 to compute the exponential smoothing values for the time series. Compute MSE and forecast for week 7.arrow_forward
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