Modern Business Statistics with Microsoft Excel (MindTap Course List)
5th Edition
ISBN: 9781285433301
Author: David R. Anderson, Dennis J. Sweeney, Thomas A. Williams
Publisher: Cengage Learning
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Textbook Question
Chapter 17.3, Problem 13E
The values of Alabama building contracts (in $ millions) for a 12-month period follow.
- a. Construct a time series plot. What type of pattern exists in the data?
- b. Compare the three-month moving average approach with the exponential smoothing forecast using α = .2. Which provides more accurate forecasts based on MSE?
- c. What is the forecast for the next month?
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Which of the following time series forecasting methods would not be used to forecast seasonal data?
For the hawkins company, the monthly percentages of all shipments received on timeover the past 12 months are 80, 82, 84, 83, 83, 84, 85, 84, 82, 83, 84, and 83.a. construct a time series plot. What type of pattern exists in the data?b. compare the three-month moving average approach with the exponential smoothing approach for a = .2. Which provides more accurate forecasts using MSe as themeasure of forecast accuracy?
After its move in 1990 to La Junta, Colorado, and its new initiatives, the DeBourgh Manufacturing Company began an upward climb of record sales. Suppose the figures shown here are the DeBourgh monthly sales figures from January 2001 through December 2009 (in $1,000s).
a) Produce a time series plot. Are there any trends evident in the data? Does DeBourgh have a seasonal component to its sales?
b) Deseasonalize the data using Multiplicative model with a 0.5 weighted moving average. Produce a time series plot of the deseasonalized data and add a trendline.
c) Forecast the sales from January to December of the year 2010.
d) Include a discussion of the general direction of sales and any seasonal tendencies that might be occurrinG
Month
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
January
139.7
165.1
177.8
228.6
266.7
431.8
381
431.8
495.3
February
114.3
177.8
203.2
254
317.5
457.2
406.4
444.5
533.4
March
101.6
177.8
228.6
266.7
368.3
457.2
431.8
495.3
635
April
152.4
203.2…
Chapter 17 Solutions
Modern Business Statistics with Microsoft Excel (MindTap Course List)
Ch. 17.2 - 1. Consider the following time series...Ch. 17.2 - 2. Refer to the time series data in exercise 1....Ch. 17.2 - Prob. 3ECh. 17.2 - 4. Consider the following time series...Ch. 17.3 - Consider the following time series...Ch. 17.3 - Consider the following time series...Ch. 17.3 - Refer to the gasoline sales time series data in...Ch. 17.3 - Prob. 8ECh. 17.3 - 9. With the gasoline time series data from Table...Ch. 17.3 - 10. With a smoothing constant of α = .2, equation...
Ch. 17.3 - For the Hawkins Company, the monthly percentages...Ch. 17.3 - Corporate triple-A bond interest rates for 12...Ch. 17.3 - The values of Alabama building contracts (in $...Ch. 17.3 - The following time series shows the sales of a...Ch. 17.3 - Ten weeks of data on the Commodity Futures Index...Ch. 17.3 - Prob. 16ECh. 17.4 - Consider the following time series...Ch. 17.4 - Prob. 18ECh. 17.4 - Prob. 19ECh. 17.4 - Prob. 20ECh. 17.4 - Prob. 21ECh. 17.4 - Prob. 22ECh. 17.4 - The president of a small manufacturing firm is...Ch. 17.4 - FRED (Federal Reserve Economic Data), a database...Ch. 17.4 - Prob. 25ECh. 17.4 - Giovanni Food Products produces and sells frozen...Ch. 17.4 - The number of users of Facebook from 2004 through...Ch. 17.5 - Consider the following time series.
Construct a...Ch. 17.5 - Consider the following time series...Ch. 17.5 - The quarterly sales data (number of copies sold)...Ch. 17.5 - Air pollution control specialists in southern...Ch. 17.5 - South Shore Construction builds permanent docks...Ch. 17.5 - Prob. 33ECh. 17.5 - Prob. 34ECh. 17.6 - Consider the following time series...Ch. 17.6 - Refer to exercise 35.
Deseasonalize the time...Ch. 17.6 - The quarterly sales data (number of copies sold)...Ch. 17.6 - Three years of monthly lawn-maintenance expenses...Ch. 17.6 - Air pollution control specialists in southern...Ch. 17.6 - Electric power consumption is measured in...Ch. 17 - The weekly demand (in cases) for a particular...Ch. 17 - The following table reports the percentage of...Ch. 17 - United Dairies, Inc., supplies milk to several...Ch. 17 - Prob. 44SECh. 17 - The Garden Avenue Seven sells CDs of its musical...Ch. 17 - The Mayfair Department Store in Davenport, Iowa,...Ch. 17 - Prob. 47SECh. 17 - The Costello Music Company has been in business...Ch. 17 - Consider the Costello Music Company problem in...Ch. 17 - Prob. 50SECh. 17 - Refer to the Costello Music Company time series in...Ch. 17 - Prob. 52SECh. 17 - Refer to the Hudson Marine problem in exercise 52....Ch. 17 - Refer to the Hudson Marine problem in exercise...Ch. 17 - Refer to the Hudson Marine data in exercise...Ch. 17 - Forecasting Food and Beverage Sales
The Vintage...Ch. 17 - The Carlson Department Store suffered heavy damage...
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