Macroeconomics: Principles and Policy (MindTap Course List)
13th Edition
ISBN: 9781305280601
Author: William J. Baumol, Alan S. Blinder
Publisher: Cengage Learning
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Chapter 19, Problem 7DQ
To determine
To describe: The ways speculator would help in relieving of the tight condition.
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Suppose that you hold a piece of land in the city of London that you may want to sell in one year. As a U.S. resident, you are concerned with the dollar value of the land. Assume that if the British economy booms in the future, the land will be worth £2,000, and one British pound will be worth $3.20. If the British economy slows down, on the other hand, the land will be worth less, say, £1,500, but the pound will be stronger, say, $3.30 per pound. You feel that the British economy will experience a boom with a 60 percent probability and a slowdown with a 40 percent probability.
Required:
Estimate your exposure (b) to the exchange risk.
Note: Negative amount should be indicated by a minus sign.
Compute the variance of the dollar value of your property that is attributable to exchange rate uncertainty.
Suppose that you hold a piece of land in the City of London that you may want to sell in one year. As a U.S. resident, you are concerned with the dollar value of the land. Assume that, if the British economy booms in the future, the land will be worth £20 and one British pound will be worth $1.27. If the British economy slows down, on the other hand, the land will be worth less, i.e., £23 million, but the pound will be stronger, i.e., $1.40/£. You feel that the British economy will experience a boom with a 70% probability and a slow-down with the remaining probability.Estimate the expected value of the spot rate (USD X.XXXX)
Suppose that you hold a piece of land in the City of London that you may want to sell in one year. As a U.S. resident, you are concerned with the dollar value of the land. Assume that, if the British economy booms in the future, the land will be worth £20 and one British pound will be worth $1.29. If the British economy slows down, on the other hand, the land will be worth less, i.e., £24 million, but the pound will be stronger, i.e., $1.4/£. You feel that the British economy will experience a boom with a 70% probability and a slow-down with the remaining probability. Estimate the exposure b to the exchange risk. (USD, no cents)
Chapter 19 Solutions
Macroeconomics: Principles and Policy (MindTap Course List)
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- Suppose U.S. interest rates decline compared to the rest of the world. What would be the likely impact on the demand for dollars, supply of dollars, and exchange rate for dollars compared to, say, euros?arrow_forwardWhat is the difference between a floating exchange rate, a soft peg, a hard peg, and dollarization?arrow_forwardFor each of the following, what is the effect on the supply of foreign currency. The demand for foreign currency, and the dollar price of foreign currency? Does the dollar rise or fall? A recession in the U.S. lowering U.S. incomeAn economic boom increases income in ChinaU.S. interest rates decreaseInterest rates decrease in all major countriesInterest rates rise in Europe and Asia, but not in the U.S.arrow_forward
- Because Vin’s receives payments in British pounds every month and converts those pounds into euros, it needs to closely monitor the value of the British pound in the future. David Hewson, owner of Vin’s, expects that inflation will rise substantially in the UK, while inflation in Ireland will remain low. He also expects that the interest rates in both countries will rise about the same amount. a. Given David’s expectations, forecast whether the pound will appreciate against the euro over time. b. Given David’s expectations, will Vin’s be favourably or unfavourably affected by the future changes in the value of the poundarrow_forwardFor each of the following, what is the effect on the supply of foreign currency. The demand for foreign currency, and the dollar price of foreign currency? Does the dollar rise or fall? -Interest rates decrease in all major countries-Interest rates rise in Europe and Asia, but not in the U.S.arrow_forwardThe autonomous region of Catalonia has recently declared independence from Spain, and is looking for an exchange rate policy that would best fit their needs. The Catalans’ main goal is to stabilise the price level in the long-run, but constantly experience fluctuations in the price of foreign goods imported from Spain and other European countries. Would it be better for the Catalans to fix the exchange rate against the Euro, or to adopt a floating exchange rate? Justify your answer briefly.arrow_forward
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