PRACTICAL MGT. SCIENCE (LL)-W/MINDTAP
6th Edition
ISBN: 9781337610278
Author: WINSTON
Publisher: CENGAGE L
expand_more
expand_more
format_list_bulleted
Concept explainers
Question
Chapter 9, Problem 37P
Summary Introduction
To determine: The value of S for which Person X would accept the settlement.
Introduction: Simulation model is the digital prototype of the physical model that helps to
Expert Solution & Answer
Trending nowThis is a popular solution!
Students have asked these similar questions
Strassel Investors buys real estate, develops it, and resells it for a profit. A new property is available, and Bud Strassel, the president and owner of Strassel Investors, believes if he purchases and develops this property, it can then be sold for $156,000. The current property owner has asked for bids and stated that the property will be sold for the highest bid in excess of $100,000. Two competitors will be submitting bids for the property. Strassel does not know what the competitors will bid, but he assumes for planning purposes that the amount bid by each competitor will be uniformly distributed between $100,000 and $146,000.
(a)
What is the estimate of the probability Strassel will be able to obtain the property using a bid of $126,000? (Use at least 5,000 trials. Round your answer three decimal places.)
(b)
How much does Strassel need to bid to be assured of obtaining the property?
$126,000
$136,000
$146,000
(c)
Use the simulation model to compute the profit…
According to the Institute of Internal Auditors, risk is a combination of the probability of an event and its consequence and that consequences can range from positive to negative
True or False?
A NY Times best-selling author wants to write a new book as either volume II of her earlier successful book or an autobiography. She believes that by writing the volume II, given her previous success, she will have a 50% chance of placing it with a major publisher where it should ultimately sell about 40,000 copies. However, the worst-case scenario, if she can’t get a major publisher to take it, then she thinks there is 80% chance of placing it with a smaller publisher, with sales of 30,000 copies. On the other hand, if she writes an autobiography, considering the potential interest in her journey as successful writer, she thinks there will be 40% chance of placing it with a major publisher, and it should result in ultimate sales of about 50,000 copies. If she can’t get a major publisher to take it, the worst-case scenario, she thinks there is a 50% chance of placing it with a smaller publisher, with ultimate sales of 35,000 copies.
Construct a decision tree to help this author…
Chapter 9 Solutions
PRACTICAL MGT. SCIENCE (LL)-W/MINDTAP
Ch. 9.2 - Prob. 1PCh. 9.2 - Prob. 2PCh. 9.2 - Prob. 3PCh. 9.3 - Prob. 4PCh. 9.3 - Prob. 5PCh. 9.3 - Prob. 6PCh. 9.3 - Prob. 7PCh. 9.4 - Explain in some detail how the PrecisionTree...Ch. 9.4 - Prob. 9PCh. 9.4 - Prob. 10P
Ch. 9.5 - Prob. 11PCh. 9.5 - Prob. 12PCh. 9.5 - Prob. 13PCh. 9.5 - Prob. 17PCh. 9.5 - Prob. 18PCh. 9.5 - Prob. 19PCh. 9.5 - Prob. 21PCh. 9.5 - The model in Example 9.3 has only two market...Ch. 9.6 - Prob. 26PCh. 9.6 - Prob. 27PCh. 9.6 - Prob. 28PCh. 9 - Prob. 30PCh. 9 - Prob. 31PCh. 9 - Prob. 32PCh. 9 - Prob. 34PCh. 9 - Prob. 36PCh. 9 - Prob. 37PCh. 9 - Prob. 38PCh. 9 - Prob. 39PCh. 9 - Prob. 46PCh. 9 - Prob. 48PCh. 9 - Prob. 53PCh. 9 - Prob. 67PCh. 9 - Prob. 68PCh. 9 - Prob. 69PCh. 9 - Prob. 70PCh. 9 - Prob. 71PCh. 9 - Prob. 72PCh. 9 - Prob. 73PCh. 9 - Prob. 74PCh. 9 - Prob. 75PCh. 9 - Prob. 76PCh. 9 - Prob. 77P
Knowledge Booster
Learn more about
Need a deep-dive on the concept behind this application? Look no further. Learn more about this topic, operations-management and related others by exploring similar questions and additional content below.Similar questions
- A television station may either extend a current television show for another season or develop a completely new show for that time slot. It will cost $6M to develop the new show. The new show may be very successful, moderately successful, or not successful with associated advertising revenues of $25M, $15M, or $5M, respectively. If the station chooses to extend the current show, it will cost $2M. The extended show may be very successful, moderately successful, or not successful with associated advertising revenues of $15M, $10M, or $5M, respectively. Which of the following are true? A. There are a total of six branches in the entire decision tree. B. There are eight leaves or terminal nodes in the entire decision tree. C. There is one event node in the decision tree. D. None of the abovearrow_forwardYou are the owner of four Taco Bell restaurant locations. You have a business loan with Citizens Bank taken out 60 days ago that is due in 90 days. The amount of the loan is $70,000, and the rate is 9.5% using ordinary interest. You currently have some excess cash: $25,000. Due to situations beyond your control, you, as the owner, must make an immediate business decision now to pursue only one of these two choices:1) sending all of the $25,000 to Citizens Bank as a partial payment on your loan, or2) using the $25,000 to purchase serving supplies such as food containers, cups, and plastic dinnerware for your inventory. This is the last day to take advantage of the opportunity to save some money due to a special discount price that is "10% off" the normal cost of $25,000 for these items. Consider these calculations: (a) How much interest (in $) will you save on this loan if you make the partial payment and don't purchase the additional serving supplies? (Round your answer to two…arrow_forwardPayoff Insurance Company charges a customeraccording to his or her accident history. A customer whohas had no accident during the last two years is charged a$100 annual premium. Any customer who has had anaccident during each of the last two years is charged a $400annual premium. A customer who has had an accident duringonly one of the last two years is charged an annual premiumof $300. A customer who has had an accident during the lastyear has a 10% chance of having an accident during thecurrent year. If a customer has not had an accident duringthe last year, there is only a 3% chance that he or she willhave an accident during the current year. During a givenyear, what is the average premium paid by a Payoffcustomer?arrow_forward
- Suppose the equilibrium price for good quality used cars is $20,000. And the equilibrium price for poor quality used cars is $10,000. Assume a potential used car buyer has imperfect information as to the condition of any given used car. Assume this potential buyer believes the probability a given used car is good quality is .60 and the probability a given used car is low quality is .40. Assume the seller has perfect information on all cars in inventory. If the seller sells the buyer a good quality car, what is the net-benefit to the seller? a. A net gain of $4,000. b. A net gain of $20,000. c. A net loss of $4,000. d. A net loss of $10,000.arrow_forwardConsider two equity market investors. The first investor is a hedge fund manager that relies on very active trading, and borrows from investment banks in order to leverage their investment. Their remuneration depends on total base fee earned by their fund as a percentage of net assets under management, plus a yearly bonus based on returns generated above a hurdle rate. The second investor is a high net-worth individual who is investing for their own retirement, which they anticipate to occur in 10 years or more. Identify three dimensions of risk that are likely to have significantly different impact on thesetwo investors. Explain the nature of the difference. Suggest aspects that each investor might monitor in order to control the risks most relevant to them.arrow_forwardA company looking for venture capitalist funding is deciding on the design of its operating system (OS) for its new phone. The first option is to simply buy the OS from another company. This would result in sales of either 10,000 units if the market is not crowded with similar phones or sales of only 3,000 units if the market is crowded. If the company decides to design its own OS the phone would have sales of 70,000 units if the OS was popular but sales of only 2,000 if the OS was a failure. Suppose that to recoup the cost of designing their own OS the company would need to sell twice as many phones as when they simply buy the OS for the profit from the scenarios to be equal. Which option should the company choose if the probability that the market is/ is not crowded is 50% and the probability that the OS is popular is 75%?arrow_forward
- A company is considering whether to market a new product. Assume, for simplicity, that if this product is marketed, there are only two possible outcomes: success or failure. The company assesses that the probabilities of these two outcomes are p and 1 - p, respectively. If the product is marketed and it proves to be a failure, the company will have a net loss of $450,000. If the product is marketed and it proves to be a success, the company will have a net gain of $660,000. If the company decides not to market the product, there is no gain or loss. The company can first survey prospective buyers of this new product. The results of the consumer survey can be classified as favorable, neutral, or unfavorable. Based on similar surveys for previous products, the company assesses the probabilities of favorable, neutral, and unfavorable survey results to be 0.6, 0.3, and 0.1 for a product that will eventually be a success, and it assesses these probabilities to be 0.1, 0.2, and 0.7 for a…arrow_forwardThe CEO of a company is considering submitting a bid to purchase property that will be sold by sealed bid. His initial judgment is to submit a bid of $5 million. Based on his experience, he estimates that a bid of $5 million will have a 0.2 of being the highest bid and securing the property for the company. The current date is June 1. Sealed bids must be submitted by August 15. The winning bid will be announced on September 1. If the company submits the highest bid and obtain the property, it plans to build and sell a complex of luxury condominiums. However, a complicating factor is that the property is currently zoned for single-family residences only. The CEO believes that a referendum could be placed on the voting ballot in time for the November elections. Passage of the referendum would change the zoning property and permit construction of luxury condominiums. The sealed bid procedure requires the bid to be submitted with a certified check for 10% of the amount bid. If the bid is…arrow_forwardSuppose the equilibrium price for good quality used cars is $20,000. And the equilibrium price for poor quality used cars is $10,000. Assume a potential used car buyer has imperfect information as to the condition of any given used car. Assume this potential buyer believes the probability a given used car is good quality is .60 and the probability a given used car is low quality is .40. Assume the seller has perfect information on all cars in inventory. What policy or mechanism could solve any informational imbalances and restore the market to an efficient allocation of used cars? a. Third-party provided information on the history of the car (ex: maintenance records, accident records, verified millage and verify repairs). b. Legal remedies and laws restricting fraudulent sales of used cars. c. Obtainablepublications discussing quality, price and possible repairs of all cars --used and new. d. All of the above.arrow_forward
- Two 9-year-old boys are watching a television replay of a boxing match between Muhammad Ali and Joe Frazier on a program called “Great Fights of the Century.” Since the fight took place before they were old enough to remember the outcome, neither knows who won and they bet on the outcome. Tom bets on Ali and Tim bets on Frazier. Does risk exist in this situation? Defend your answer.arrow_forwardA farmer must decide whether to take protective action to limit damage to his grapefruit crop in the event that the overnight temperature falls to a level well below freezing. If the temperature drops too low he runs the risk of losing his entire crop, valued at $75,000. Based on the National Weather Service, the probability of such a temperature drop is 60%. He can insulate his crop by spraying water on all the trees, which will cost $20,000. This action might succeed in protecting the crop, with the following possible outcomes: Probability Damage 0.30 $0 0.15 $5,000 0.10 $10,000 0.15 $15,000 0.30 $20,000 Construct a decision tree to help the farmer make his decision. What should he do? Explain your answer. Find the highest cost of insulating the grapefruits for which the farmer prefers to insulate his crop. Suppose the farmer is uncertain about the reliability of the National Weather Service forecast. If he thinks the probability of…arrow_forward
arrow_back_ios
arrow_forward_ios
Recommended textbooks for you
Practical Management ScienceOperations ManagementISBN:9781337406659Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.Publisher:Cengage,
Practical Management Science
Operations Management
ISBN:9781337406659
Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher:Cengage,