Finite Mathematics for the Managerial, Life, and Social Sciences
12th Edition
ISBN: 9781337405782
Author: Soo T. Tan
Publisher: Cengage Learning
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Question
Chapter 9.5, Problem 6E
To determine
To find:
The expected payoff
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Find the saddle point of the game given by the payoff matrices A below.
The XY Manufacturing Company must decide whether to manufacture acomponent part at its plant or purchase the component part from a supplier. The resulting profit is dependent upon the demand for the product. The following payoff table shows the projected profit (in ten thousand of pesos):
State of Nature
State of Nature
State of Nature
Decision Alternative
Low DemandS_(1)
Medium DemandS_(2)
High DemandS_(3)
Manufacture, d_(1)
-100
200
500
Purchase, d_(2)
50
225
350
The state-of-nature probabilities are P(s1) = 0.35, P(s2) = 0.35, and P(s3) = 0.30.
a. Use a decision tree to recommend a decision. b. Use EVPI to determine whether XY Manufacturing Company should attempt to obtain a better estimate of demand. c. A test market study of the potential demand for the product is expected to reporteither a favorable (F) or unfavorable (U) condition. The relevant conditional probabilities are as follows:What is the probability that the market research report will be favorable?d. What…
The XY Manufacturing Company must decide whether to manufacture acomponent part at its plant or purchase the component part from a supplier. The resulting profit is dependent upon the demand for the product. The following payoff table shows the projected profit (in ten thousand of pesos):
State of Nature
State of Nature
State of Nature
Decision Alternative
Low DemandS_(1)
Medium DemandS_(2)
High DemandS_(3)
Manufacture, d_(1)
-100
200
500
Purchase, d_(2)
50
225
350
The state-of-nature probabilities are P(s1) = 0.35, P(s2) = 0.35, and P(s3) = 0.30.
c. A test market study of the potential demand for the product is expected to reporteither a favorable (F) or unfavorable (U) condition. The relevant conditional probabilities are as follows:What is the probability that the market research report will be favorable?
Chapter 9 Solutions
Finite Mathematics for the Managerial, Life, and Social Sciences
Ch. 9.1 - What is a finite stochastic process? What can you...Ch. 9.1 - Prob. 2CQCh. 9.1 - Consider a transition matrix T for a Markov chain...Ch. 9.1 - Prob. 1ECh. 9.1 - Prob. 2ECh. 9.1 - Prob. 3ECh. 9.1 - Prob. 4ECh. 9.1 - Prob. 5ECh. 9.1 - Prob. 6ECh. 9.1 - Prob. 7E
Ch. 9.1 - Prob. 8ECh. 9.1 - Prob. 9ECh. 9.1 - In Exercises 1-10, determine which of the matrices...Ch. 9.1 - Prob. 11ECh. 9.1 - Prob. 12ECh. 9.1 - Prob. 13ECh. 9.1 - Prob. 14ECh. 9.1 - Prob. 15ECh. 9.1 - In Exercises 1518, find X2 the probability...Ch. 9.1 - Prob. 17ECh. 9.1 - Prob. 18ECh. 9.1 - Prob. 19ECh. 9.1 - Prob. 20ECh. 9.1 - Political Polls: Morris Polling conducted a poll 6...Ch. 9.1 - Commuter Trends: In a large metropolitan area, 20...Ch. 9.1 - Prob. 23ECh. 9.1 - Prob. 24ECh. 9.1 - Prob. 25ECh. 9.1 - MARKET SHARE OF AUTO MANUFACTURERES In a study of...Ch. 9.1 - Prob. 27ECh. 9.1 - Homeowners choice of Energy: A study conducted by...Ch. 9.1 - In Exercises 29 and 30, determine whether the...Ch. 9.1 - Prob. 30ECh. 9.1 - Prob. 1TECh. 9.1 - Prob. 2TECh. 9.1 - Prob. 3TECh. 9.1 - Prob. 4TECh. 9.2 - What is a A steady state distribution vector, b a...Ch. 9.2 - Prob. 2CQCh. 9.2 - Prob. 1ECh. 9.2 - Prob. 2ECh. 9.2 - Prob. 3ECh. 9.2 - Prob. 4ECh. 9.2 - Prob. 5ECh. 9.2 - Prob. 6ECh. 9.2 - Prob. 7ECh. 9.2 - Prob. 8ECh. 9.2 - Prob. 9ECh. 9.2 - Prob. 10ECh. 9.2 - Prob. 11ECh. 9.2 - Prob. 12ECh. 9.2 - Prob. 13ECh. 9.2 - Prob. 14ECh. 9.2 - Prob. 15ECh. 9.2 - Prob. 16ECh. 9.2 - Prob. 17ECh. 9.2 - COMMUTER TRENDS Within a large metropolitan area,...Ch. 9.2 - Prob. 19ECh. 9.2 - PROFESSIONAL WOMEN From data compiled over a...Ch. 9.2 - Prob. 21ECh. 9.2 - HOMEOWNERS' CHOICE OF ENERGY A study conducted by...Ch. 9.2 - NETWORK NEWS VIEWERSHIP A television poll was...Ch. 9.2 - Prob. 24ECh. 9.2 - GENETICS In a certain species of roses, a plant...Ch. 9.2 - Prob. 26ECh. 9.2 - Prob. 27ECh. 9.2 - Prob. 28ECh. 9.2 - Prob. 29ECh. 9.2 - Prob. 1TECh. 9.2 - Prob. 2TECh. 9.2 - Prob. 3TECh. 9.3 - What is an absorbing stochastic matrix?Ch. 9.3 - Prob. 2CQCh. 9.3 - Prob. 1ECh. 9.3 - Prob. 2ECh. 9.3 - Prob. 3ECh. 9.3 - Prob. 4ECh. 9.3 - Prob. 5ECh. 9.3 - Prob. 6ECh. 9.3 - Prob. 7ECh. 9.3 - Prob. 8ECh. 9.3 - Prob. 9ECh. 9.3 - Prob. 10ECh. 9.3 - Prob. 11ECh. 9.3 - In Exercises 9-14, rewrite each absorbing...Ch. 9.3 - Prob. 13ECh. 9.3 - Prob. 14ECh. 9.3 - Prob. 15ECh. 9.3 - Prob. 16ECh. 9.3 - Prob. 17ECh. 9.3 - Prob. 18ECh. 9.3 - Prob. 19ECh. 9.3 - Prob. 20ECh. 9.3 - Prob. 21ECh. 9.3 - Prob. 22ECh. 9.3 - Prob. 23ECh. 9.3 - Prob. 24ECh. 9.3 - Prob. 25ECh. 9.3 - Prob. 26ECh. 9.3 - GAME OF CHANCE Refer to Exercise 26. Suppose Diane...Ch. 9.3 - Prob. 28ECh. 9.3 - COLLEGE GRADUATION RATE: The registrar of...Ch. 9.3 - Prob. 30ECh. 9.3 - GENETICS Refer to Example 4. If the offspring are...Ch. 9.3 - Prob. 32ECh. 9.3 - Prob. 33ECh. 9.4 - a. What is the maximin strategy for the row player...Ch. 9.4 - Prob. 2CQCh. 9.4 - Prob. 1ECh. 9.4 - In Exercises 1-8, determine the maximin and...Ch. 9.4 - In Exercises 1-8, determine the maximin and...Ch. 9.4 - Prob. 4ECh. 9.4 - Prob. 5ECh. 9.4 - In Exercises 1-8, determine the maximin and...Ch. 9.4 - Prob. 7ECh. 9.4 - Prob. 8ECh. 9.4 - Prob. 9ECh. 9.4 - In Exercises 9-18, determine whether the...Ch. 9.4 - In Exercises 9-18, determine whether the...Ch. 9.4 - Prob. 12ECh. 9.4 - Prob. 13ECh. 9.4 - Prob. 14ECh. 9.4 - Prob. 15ECh. 9.4 - Prob. 16ECh. 9.4 - Prob. 17ECh. 9.4 - Prob. 18ECh. 9.4 - GAME OF MATCHING FINGERS Robin and Cathy play a...Ch. 9.4 - Prob. 20ECh. 9.4 - Prob. 21ECh. 9.4 - Prob. 22ECh. 9.4 - MARKET SHARE: Rolands Barber Shop and Charleys...Ch. 9.4 - In Exercises 24-26, determine whether the...Ch. 9.4 - Prob. 25ECh. 9.4 - Prob. 26ECh. 9.5 - Prob. 1CQCh. 9.5 - Prob. 2CQCh. 9.5 - Prob. 1ECh. 9.5 - Prob. 2ECh. 9.5 - Prob. 3ECh. 9.5 - Prob. 4ECh. 9.5 - In Exercises 1-6, the payoff matrix and strategies...Ch. 9.5 - Prob. 6ECh. 9.5 - Prob. 7ECh. 9.5 - Prob. 8ECh. 9.5 - The payoff matrix for a game is [332311121] a....Ch. 9.5 - The payoff matrix for a game is [423422352] a....Ch. 9.5 - Prob. 11ECh. 9.5 - Prob. 12ECh. 9.5 - In Exercises 11-16, find the optimal strategies, P...Ch. 9.5 - Prob. 14ECh. 9.5 - Prob. 15ECh. 9.5 - Prob. 16ECh. 9.5 - COIN-MATCHING GAME Consider the coin-matching game...Ch. 9.5 - INVESTMENT STRATEGIES As part of their investment...Ch. 9.5 - INVESTMENT STRATEGIES The Maxwells have decided to...Ch. 9.5 - CAMPAIGN STRATEGIES Bella Robinson and Steve...Ch. 9.5 - MARKETING STRATEGIES Two dentists, Lydia Russell...Ch. 9.5 - Prob. 22ECh. 9.5 - Prob. 23ECh. 9.CRQ - Prob. 1CRQCh. 9.CRQ - Prob. 2CRQCh. 9.CRQ - Fill in the blanks. The probabilities in a Markov...Ch. 9.CRQ - Fill in the blanks. A transition matrix associated...Ch. 9.CRQ - Prob. 5CRQCh. 9.CRQ - Prob. 6CRQCh. 9.CRQ - Prob. 7CRQCh. 9.CRQ - Prob. 8CRQCh. 9.CRQ - Prob. 9CRQCh. 9.CRQ - Prob. 10CRQCh. 9.CRE - Prob. 1CRECh. 9.CRE - Prob. 2CRECh. 9.CRE - Prob. 3CRECh. 9.CRE - Prob. 4CRECh. 9.CRE - Prob. 5CRECh. 9.CRE - Prob. 6CRECh. 9.CRE - In Exercises 7-10, determine whether the matrix is...Ch. 9.CRE - Prob. 8CRECh. 9.CRE - Prob. 9CRECh. 9.CRE - Prob. 10CRECh. 9.CRE - In Exercises 11-14, find the steady-state matrix...Ch. 9.CRE - Prob. 12CRECh. 9.CRE - Prob. 13CRECh. 9.CRE - Prob. 14CRECh. 9.CRE - Prob. 15CRECh. 9.CRE - Prob. 16CRECh. 9.CRE - Prob. 17CRECh. 9.CRE - Prob. 18CRECh. 9.CRE - Prob. 19CRECh. 9.CRE - Prob. 20CRECh. 9.CRE - Prob. 21CRECh. 9.CRE - Prob. 22CRECh. 9.CRE - Prob. 23CRECh. 9.CRE - Prob. 24CRECh. 9.CRE - Prob. 25CRECh. 9.CRE - Prob. 26CRECh. 9.CRE - Prob. 27CRECh. 9.CRE - Prob. 28CRECh. 9.CRE - Prob. 29CRECh. 9.CRE - OPTIMIZING DEMAND The management of a divison of...Ch. 9.BMO - The transition matrix for a Markov process is...Ch. 9.BMO - Prob. 2BMOCh. 9.BMO - Prob. 3BMOCh. 9.BMO - Prob. 4BMOCh. 9.BMO - The payoff matrix for a certain game is A=[213234]...Ch. 9.BMO - Prob. 6BMO
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- The XY Manufacturing Company must decide whether to manufacture acomponent part at its plant or purchase the component part from a supplier. The resulting profit is dependent upon the demand for the product. The following payoff table shows the projected profit (in ten thousand of pesos): State of Nature State of Nature State of Nature Decision Alternative Low DemandS_(1) Medium DemandS_(2) High DemandS_(3) Manufacture, d_(1) -100 200 500 Purchase, d_(2) 50 225 350 The state-of-nature probabilities are P(s1) = 0.35, P(s2) = 0.35, and P(s3) = 0.30. a. Use a decision tree to recommend a decision. b. Use EVPI to determine whether XY Manufacturing Company should attempt to obtain a better estimate of demand.arrow_forwardThe Gorman Manufacturing Company must decide whether to manufacture a component part at its Milan, Michigan, plant or purchase the component part from a supplier. The resulting profit is dependent upon the demand for the product. The following payoff table shows the projected profit (in thousands of dollars): State of Nature Low Demand Medium Demand High Demand Decision Alternative s1 s2 s3 Manufacture, d1 -20 40 100 Purchase, d2 10 45 70 The state-of-nature probabilities are P(s1) = 0.35, P(s2) = 0.35, and P(s3) = 0.30. A test market study of the potential demand for the product is expected to report either a favorable (F) or unfavorable (U) condition. The relevant conditional probabilities are as follows: P(F | s1) = 0.10 P(U | s1) = 0.90 P(F | s2) = 0.40 P(U | s2) = 0.60 P(F | s3) = 0.60 P(U | s3) = 0.40 What is the efficiency of the information? If required, round your answer to one decimal place.Efficiency:arrow_forwardThe Gorman Manufacturing Company must decide whether to manufacture a component part at its Milan, Michigan, plant or purchase the component part from a supplier. The resulting profit is dependent upon the demand for the product. The following payoff table shows the projected profit (in thousands of dollars): State of Nature Low Demand Medium Demand High Demand Decision Alternative s1 s2 s3 Manufacture, d1 -20 40 100 Purchase, d2 10 45 70 The state-of-nature probabilities are P(s1) = 0.35, P(s2) = 0.35, and P(s3) = 0.30. Use a decision tree to recommend a decision.Recommended decision: Use EVPI to determine whether Gorman should attempt to obtain a better estimate of demand. EVPI: $ A test market study of the potential demand for the product is expected to report either a favorable (F) or unfavorable (U) condition. The relevant conditional probabilities are as follows: P(F | s1) = 0.10 P(U | s1) = 0.90 P(F | s2) = 0.40 P(U | s2) = 0.60 P(F | s3) =…arrow_forward
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