EBK OPERATIONS MANAGEMENT
EBK OPERATIONS MANAGEMENT
11th Edition
ISBN: 8220103630726
Author: RENDER
Publisher: PEARSON
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Chapter F, Problem 1P
Summary Introduction

To determine: The sales of sandwich for 10 days.

Introduction: Simulation is the model that can be used in operations, which would imitate the real world process. Simulation uses random sampling for the generation of realistic variability.

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QUESTION 3 A department store has recorded the sales of the best selling can opener model during the last 6 months. Observed values of the can opener sales are: Period 1 2 3 4 5 6 Sales 25 22 26 33 28 30   Use Holt’s double exponential smoothing with smoothing coefficients α=0.3, β=.15,  S1=24.13 and G1=1.484 to calculate F1,2,  G2 and S2. F1,2 =  S2 =  G2 =
QUESTION 4 Suppose the following are the seasonal indices for the first three quarters of the year for a quarterly series:  Quarter Seasonal Index Q1 72.4 Q2 85.3 Q3 109.6      Remember that the seasonal indices should average 100 so you should be able to infer the seasonal index for Q4. Furthermore, suppose that the estimated coeffcients from a regression of the deseasonalized series on Time are given below:    Coefficients Intercept 2,506 Time 71.3  If the original value of the series in a Q1 was 2,040, then what is the seasonally adjusted value? (please round your answer to 1 decimal place)
Question 2 Mr. Ferdinand is a well known entrepreneur who sells fresh organic beef to persons in the local community. Customers love the quality of meet that Mr. Ferdinand sells so they tend to recommend his product to other persons. Recently, Mr. Ferdinand has been running out of beef to sell to his customers. One customer suggests to him that he must use past sales records to forecast demand for his beef so that he can meet his customers demand. I Using a numerical example, demonstrate to Mr. Ferdinand how he can use a three- week and a four-week weighted moving average to forecast demand for his beef. II. Show how Mr. Ferdinand can test the accuracy of his forecast. II. Explain to Mr. Ferdinand two ways in which he can benefit from doing forecast for his beef.
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