ECMT Submission 3

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Texas A&M University *

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Economics

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Apr 3, 2024

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Abstract Although parents want the best for their students they may not know what school is a quality school. By looking at enrollment and expenditure it becomes possible to determine how parents choose schools. The objective of this paper is to investigate the link between enrollment and per student spending on extracurriculars. Data on enrollment and spending of charter schools from the Texas Education Agency and population data is used to run an OLS regression. A positive correlation is found between enrollment and extracurricular spending however when controls are accounted for there is a loss in significance caused by multicollinearity bias. Statement of Contribution This paper was a solo project.
Introduction According to the National Center for Education Statistics, the number of charter schools in the United States grew by 2,500, while the number of traditional public schools fell by 2,100 between the years 2011 and 2022. As the popularity of charter schools rises, it is important to look at why charter schools appear to be more desirable. For this project, I am looking at how charter schools spend their budget on extracurriculars and how that impacts student enrollment. Clarity on what types of programs attract students can guide education spending on what is important to parents. Even if extracurriculars do not directly impact academic performance, there can be some unobservable benefit to participation that parents may consider when choosing a school. When parents choose a school for their children, many factors go into that decision, including a school's academic prestige, neighborhood, the types of students that attend, and other aspects of a school's programs. Parents may not entirely know what school is best for their child and may use facilities as a deciding factor. One of these facilities is extracurricular activities. While after-school programs are not likely to be the primary reason a student is enrolled, they can be a factor that causes a parent to choose one school over another. This is why it can be expected that there is a correlation between extracurricular spending and enrollment. My X variable is the per student spending on extracurriculars, and the Y variable is the number of students enrolled. There are many X’s that can affect enrollment, including the demographics of parents, the quality of surrounding public schools, and, importantly, the population of the city. It can also be true that the amount a school spends on per student
extracurriculars is more indicative of how much a school spends on all programs and therefore could cause a spurious correlation if the total budget is not accounted for. The type of data I use to investigate this question is a cross sectional data set from the Texas Education Agency and suggests a positive correlation between spending on extracurriculars and enrollment. This paper contains a review of the understanding of charter school choice and how extracurriculars impact students. The following sections show my model, results, and subsequent analysis. Literature Review Research investigating charter school choice found a disconnect between stated and revealed preferences of parents. The findings in Stein, Golding, and Cravens research on revealed preference of school found that stated preference overwhelmingly focused on the academic rigor of charter schools even though revealed preference found that only a third of students moved into charter schools were moved into schools that were of a higher academic quality (Stein, 2010). This means that there must be other factors that drive parents to choose schools. This could be the effect of ‘brand names’ where parents perceive charter schools to be higher quality or it could be other factors that make a school desirable that parents misattribute to academic quality. Many studies have looked at the effect of extracurriculars and achievement and have found that there is a positive correlation between the number of extracurriculars a student is involved in and their academic achievements (Abbrozo, 2016). Participation in extracurriculars has positive associations with attendance and intentions to enroll in higher education (O'Brien, 1995). If parents who choose to enroll their children in charter schools care about educational outcomes we might expect that there is a positive correlation between per student spending on
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extracurriculars and the number of students enrolled. Conversely, parents who are higher income are more likely to have their child enrolled in one or more extracurriculars but are also more likely to be worried that their children’s schedules are overloaded (Pew Research Center, 2015). This could cause parents to overlook extracurriculars as an important aspect when choosing a school. Parents who would take the initiative to enroll their children in charter schools might already have their child in an extracurricular outside of school and not value the schools extracurriculars. Model Specifications The dependent variable for my analysis is the number of students enrolled at the school. The independent variable of interest is the amount per student a school spends on extracurriculars. The three control variables are the population, and the amount the school spends on instruction, and on athletics. x 1 is extracurricular spending per student, found by dividing total expenditure on extracurriculars by the number of students enrolled. A similar process is used for x 3 instructional spending and x 4 , athletic spending. Population is simply the population of the city in which the school is located. These three other xs account for omitted variable bias. The number of students enrolled, extracurricular, instructional, and athletic spending are all from the Texas Education Agency. The population is from the US census bureau. The data used from the Texas Education Agency is a panel dataset that contains information on all charter schools in Texas from the years 2007 to 2022. This analysis only considers the academic year of 2015-2016 and is a cross sectional analysis. The descriptive statistics are shown in the table below.
Variable Names Observation Mean Std. Dev Min Max Enrollment (y) 144 1131.06 1732.24 60 14031 Extracurricular (x1) 144 90.19 116.71 0 661.99 Population (x2) 144 915315.2 798986.3 814 2302878 Instruction (x3) 144 4834.31 1496.6 2627.77 14456.47 Athletic (x4) 144 37.40 68.01 0 384.5056 Because the Y variable is a count data and the model is an OLS. The OLS is run in Stata and the equation is shown below: Enrollment= B 0 + B 1 x 1 + B 2 x 2 + B 3 x 3 + B 4 x 4 The Null Hypothesis is H0: B1 = B2 = B3 = B4 = 0 and my alternative hypothesis is that at least one of the xs has a significant impact on the dependent variable enrollment or that at least one beta is not equal to zero. Empirical Results The scatter plot below shows the relationship between our X of interest, extracurricular spending, and enrollment. For this analysis two outliers are removed, both outliers spend more than 10,000 per student on extracurriculars. The scatterplot shows a positive correlation between enrollment and extracurricular expenditure.
The regression results shown below find that the first regression is statistically significant at a 99% confidence level B 1 has a t-value of 2.37 and a p-value of 0.019 the t and p-values of B 0 are 4.84 and 0, meaning that both are statistically significant at the 1% level. The second regression has a significance level of 1% for B 0 with a t-value of 2.02 and a p-value of 0.045 which rejects the null. Although B 0 and B 1 are statistically significant B 2 ,B 3 , and B 4 are not. The first regression shows that a one unit increase in extracurricular spending, x 1 yields a 2.90 increase in the number of students enrolled, Y. This follows the assumption that parents would rather their children be enrolled in a school that has well developed extracurriculars. When controlled for several xs in the second regression shows an increase of 3.08 in Y for every unit increase in x 1 . Every one increase in x 2 , population causes a 0.00043 increase in Y. This effect becomes quite large because the population has a large standard variance. Instructional, x 3 , and athletic spending, x 4 , both have negative impacts on Y, x 3 by -0.142 and x 4 by -1.03. The increase in B 0 and B 1 and standard error suggests that the model lost statistical significance when other controls were added. In an effort to explain this loss in statistical significance a correlation analysis is run in stata and found that there is correlation between the X of interest and several of the control Xs.
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This leads to a multicollinearity bias which is the cause of drop in statistical significance. This correlation shows that schools that spend more on instructional and athletic funding also spend more on extracurricular funding. Many schools that are well funded have high funding in all aspects. Regression 1: Enrollment= B + B 1 x 1 + ε Regression 2: Enrollment= B + B 1 x 1 + B 2 x 2 + B 3 x 3 + B 4 x 4 + ε Enrollment (1) (2) Extracurricular ( x 1 ¿ 2.90 ¿ ¿¿ (1.22) 3.08 (1.52) Population( x 2 ¿ 0.000043 (0.00018) Instructional Spending ( x 3 ¿ -0.142 (0.097) Athletic Spending( x 4 ¿ -1.032 (2.56) Intercept 869.72 ¿ ¿¿ (179.79) 1540.087 (569.81) R-Squared 0.0381 0.0553 Observations 144 144 There are several factors that also affect enrollment that are not accounted for in this model. Student performance has a large effect on whether parents choose to enroll their child. Information on student performance for the specific schools chosen was not available and therefore is not shown. Student performance, extracurricular spending, and instructional spending could also suffer from multicollinearity bias. On average students who participate in more extracurriculars have better academic performance which could lead to the two being correlated (cite). It's also possible that charter schools with worse student performance may hire
more skilled teachers to raise performance and spend more on instruction. Another factor that ideally would be included is the quality of local public schools and how much they spend on extracurriculars. In areas where there is more competition from public schools charter schools may spend more on extracurriculars to remain competitive and not have as many students enrolled when compared to areas that have less competitive schools. Conclusion This paper intended to shed light on the association between extracurricular spending and how it impacts school choice. It is important to understand what parents understand and value in their choice of schools. Using a linear OLS regression the effects of increasing expenditure were shown. The loss of statistical significance between the first and second regression can be explained due to multicollinearity bias. When investigated further the correlation between the chosen betas may have impacted results. While the initial findings of this paper are interesting, future research on this topic should consider controls that are not correlated with the X of interest in order to get a better picture of the issue. Works Cited United States Census Bureau. B01001 SEX BY AGE, 2021 American Community Survey 5- Year Estimates. U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey Office. Web. 8 December 2022. http://www.census.gov/. Abruzzo, K. J., Lenis, C., Romero, Y. V., Maser, K. J., & Morote, E.-S. (2015, November 30). Does participation in extracurricular activities impact student achievement?. Journal for Leadership and Instruction. https://eric.ed.gov/?id=EJ1097547
Askted Home. (n.d.). https://tealprod.tea.state.tx.us/tea.askted.web/Forms/Home.aspx Extracurricular participation and student engagement . Extracurricular Participation And Student Engagement. (1995, June). https://nces.ed.gov/pubs95/web/95741.asp Stein, M., Goldring, E., & Cravens, X. (2010, August). Eric - Education Resources Information Center. https://files.eric.ed.gov/fulltext/ED556901.pdf
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