Using a weighted moving average with weights of 0.55, 0.35, and 0.15, for periods 3, 2, and 1 respectively, find the forecast for period 4. Period, X -2 -1 1 2 3 Select one: Output, Y 4 8 9. 10 a. 9.38 b. 10.0 c. 8.25 d. 13.25
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- Scenario 4 Sharon Gillespie, a new buyer at Visionex, Inc., was reviewing quotations for a tooling contract submitted by four suppliers. She was evaluating the quotes based on price, target quality levels, and delivery lead time promises. As she was working, her manager, Dave Cox, entered her office. He asked how everything was progressing and if she needed any help. She mentioned she was reviewing quotations from suppliers for a tooling contract. Dave asked who the interested suppliers were and if she had made a decision. Sharon indicated that one supplier, Apex, appeared to fit exactly the requirements Visionex had specified in the proposal. Dave told her to keep up the good work. Later that day Dave again visited Sharons office. He stated that he had done some research on the suppliers and felt that another supplier, Micron, appeared to have the best track record with Visionex. He pointed out that Sharons first choice was a new supplier to Visionex and there was some risk involved with that choice. Dave indicated that it would please him greatly if she selected Micron for the contract. The next day Sharon was having lunch with another buyer, Mark Smith. She mentioned the conversation with Dave and said she honestly felt that Apex was the best choice. When Mark asked Sharon who Dave preferred, she answered, Micron. At that point Mark rolled his eyes and shook his head. Sharon asked what the body language was all about. Mark replied, Look, I know youre new but you should know this. I heard last week that Daves brother-in-law is a new part owner of Micron. I was wondering how soon it would be before he started steering business to that company. He is not the straightest character. Sharon was shocked. After a few moments, she announced that her original choice was still the best selection. At that point Mark reminded Sharon that she was replacing a terminated buyer who did not go along with one of Daves previous preferred suppliers. What should Sharon do in this situation?Scenario 4 Sharon Gillespie, a new buyer at Visionex, Inc., was reviewing quotations for a tooling contract submitted by four suppliers. She was evaluating the quotes based on price, target quality levels, and delivery lead time promises. As she was working, her manager, Dave Cox, entered her office. He asked how everything was progressing and if she needed any help. She mentioned she was reviewing quotations from suppliers for a tooling contract. Dave asked who the interested suppliers were and if she had made a decision. Sharon indicated that one supplier, Apex, appeared to fit exactly the requirements Visionex had specified in the proposal. Dave told her to keep up the good work. Later that day Dave again visited Sharons office. He stated that he had done some research on the suppliers and felt that another supplier, Micron, appeared to have the best track record with Visionex. He pointed out that Sharons first choice was a new supplier to Visionex and there was some risk involved with that choice. Dave indicated that it would please him greatly if she selected Micron for the contract. The next day Sharon was having lunch with another buyer, Mark Smith. She mentioned the conversation with Dave and said she honestly felt that Apex was the best choice. When Mark asked Sharon who Dave preferred, she answered, Micron. At that point Mark rolled his eyes and shook his head. Sharon asked what the body language was all about. Mark replied, Look, I know youre new but you should know this. I heard last week that Daves brother-in-law is a new part owner of Micron. I was wondering how soon it would be before he started steering business to that company. He is not the straightest character. Sharon was shocked. After a few moments, she announced that her original choice was still the best selection. At that point Mark reminded Sharon that she was replacing a terminated buyer who did not go along with one of Daves previous preferred suppliers. What does the Institute of Supply Management code of ethics say about financial conflicts of interest?Exotic Wines, Inc. wants to use exponential smoothing with α = 0.35 to forecast demand in bottles sold. The demand the last four months are 3,221, 3,197, 3,645, and 3,912 bottles. The forecast for bottles was 3,221 bottles for the second month. What is the forecast for the fifth month? Round your answer to the nearest whole number. bottles:
- answer all the questions below and show each and every woorkings You have just been given the following production reports as a new manager of a company; January February March April Units Produced 230 1,800 2, 800 3,000 Hours Per Machine 325 200 400 320 No of machines 3 5 4 4 show working and formulars used What percentage of production is February production? If you are to forecast for May using four month simple moving average, what would be your forecast Determine the average productivity unit for the first three months. Determine the average productivity units per machine.Pls do fast and i will give like for sure Solution must be in typed form If next years total sales are forecasted to be 4536 and the cyclical index for the busiest month was 1.77, what would the forecasted demand be for that busiest month? a. 703 b. 7982 c. 669 d. 378I need the answer A resort cum restaurant spot in the area of Gazipur is open on the days of the week. The manager hopes to improve resources availability and scheduling of part-time employees by forecasting visitors number in the next week. Data on visitors of recent 6 weeks at the spot has been tabulated and shown in the following table: Week Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri 1 203 71 65 57 61 105 290 2 191 70 59 58 62 98 278 3 228 76 68 62 65 124 311 4 212 72 64 59 63 111 299 5 215 73 66 59 64 113 304 6 205 72 60 61 59 109 295 Which is the best technique to forecast visitors in the spot? Explain. Find forecasting equation or seasonal relatives. 3.Forecast expected numbers of visitors in the resort on week 7 and in the days of the week 7.
- Using the photo attached, answer the following questions. 1. using the manual trend projection method of forecasting, show how Mr John can forecast demand for tyres for the next two years. SHOW ALL WORKING NO EXCEL SHEETS NO HAND WRITTEN ANSWERS, TYPE IT!IN THE MID-1960S, WALT DISNEY’S DREAM was to build a family resort destination like no other. Thedream became a reality when Walt Disney World Resort opened in 1971, featuring Magic Kingdom asthe centerpiece. Today, millions of guests visit the Walt Disney World Resort each year to experience theworld-class theme parks and hotels. Analytics feature prominently in the operations of Walt DisneyWorld.Explain using illustrations how forecasting features in this company’s operations. (Please provide images)Given the following demand data, Period Demand 1 47 2 44 3 47 4 44 5 48 a. Compute a weighted average forecast using a weight of 0.4 for the most recent period, 0.3 for the next most recent, 0.2 for the next, and 0.1 for the next. (Round all your answers to two decimal points.) b. If the actual demand for period 6 is 48, forecast demand for period 7 using the same weights as in part a. Forecast Period 7 ______
- S and S thester company wabts a 3-month moving average forecast. Ticket sales over the past 3 months have been 30,000 40,000 and 37,500. what is the 3-month average forcast using the moving average formula Please do fast asapUsing exponential smoothing method, forecast the demand for the fourth period. The historical demand for the previous three periods is 40, 42, and 43 respectively, assume Alpha 0.5 (Round to 2 decimals) Select one: O a. None is correct O b. 41 O c. 42.8 d. 42.00 O e. 41.92IN THE MID-1960S, WALT DISNEY’S DREAM was to build a family resort destination like no other. The dream became a reality when Walt Disney World Resort opened in 1971, featuring Magic Kingdom as the centerpiece. Today, millions of guests visit the Walt Disney World Resort each year to experience the world-class theme parks and hotels. Analytics feature prominently in the operations of Walt Disney World. i)Explain using illustrations how forecasting features in this company’s operations. ii)Explain at least four methods of forecasting that can be used for Disney’s purpose. Use made up worked examples.