MANAGERIAL/ECON+BUS/STR CONNECT ACCESS
MANAGERIAL/ECON+BUS/STR CONNECT ACCESS
9th Edition
ISBN: 2810022149537
Author: Baye
Publisher: MCG
Question
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Chapter 12, Problem 2CACQ

(A)

To determine

Whether the decision maker is risk neutral, risk averse or risk loving is to be ascertained.

(B)

To determine

Whether the decision maker is risk neutral, risk averse or risk loving is to be ascertained.

(C)

To determine

Whether the decision maker is risk neutral, risk averse or risk loving is to be ascertained.

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For each of the following scenarios, determine whether the decision maker is risk neutral, risk averse, or risk loving.a) A manager prefers a 10 percent chance of receiving $1,000 and a 90 percent chance of receiving $100 to receiving $190 for sure.b) A shareholder prefers receiving $775 with certainty to a 75 percent chance of receiving $1,000 and a 25 percent chance of receiving $100.c) A consumer is indifferent between receiving $550 for sure and a lottery that pays $1,000 half of the time and $100 half of the time.
You are considering a $500,000 investment in the fast-food industry and have narrowed your choice to either a McDonald's or a Penn Station East Coast Subs franchise. McDonald's indicates that, based on the location where you are proposing to open a new restaurant, there is a 25 percent probability that aggregate 10-year profits (net of the initial investment) will be $16 million, a 50 percent probability that profits will be $8 million, and a 25 percent probability that profits will be -$1.6 million. The aggregate 10-year profit projections (net of the initial investment) for a Penn Station East Coast Subs franchise is $48 million with a 2.5 percent probability, $8 million with a 95 percent probability, and -$48 million with a 2.5 percent probability. Considering both the risk and expected profitability of these two investment opportunities, which is the better investment? Explain carefully.
You take a position with a large real estate development company as your first job after graduation.  Your first big assignment is to sell an office building – you have been informed the company’s cost into the building (and the bottom line price it is willing to accept) is $400,000.  You have identified a likely buyer and you assess that his top price is either $500,000 with a probability of .3, $600,000 with a probability of .5, or $1,000,000 with a probability of .2.  You have to commit to a posted price – what price will maximize your profitability?
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