Practical Management Science, Loose-leaf Version
Practical Management Science, Loose-leaf Version
5th Edition
ISBN: 9781305631540
Author: WINSTON, Wayne L.; Albright, S. Christian
Publisher: Cengage Learning
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Chapter 12.5, Problem 12P
Summary Introduction

To determine: Whether the order quantity is optimal using @RISK.

Introduction: Simulation model is the digital prototype of the physical model that helps to forecast the performance of the system or model in the real world.

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The purpose of this assignment is to know how to apply normal probability distribution concepts to a real business case. The case study starts under Unit 4. and Unit 4.1 is the continuation. Describe a normal probability distribution that can be used to approximate the demand distribution. Sketch the distribution and show its mean and standard deviation. Compute the probability of a stock-out for the order quantities suggested by members of management team.
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Consider a product for which the average demand is 70 items per day (for 365 days per year) and the standard deviation of demand is 10 per day. The product value is $3, the order cost is $30 per order, and the inventory carrying cost is 20% per year. The stockout cost is $0.50 per unit short. The probability of being in stock is to be 99%.  The supplier has an average lead time of 5 days with a standard deviation of 1.5 days.    a)    Design a reorder point system using the 99% probability of being in stock and (i) state the policy (order size and when to order) and (ii) the total annual cost.   Policy (order size and when to order): ____________________________________   Total annual cost =  ________         b)    If the product must be ordered in multiples of 500 items, design a reorder point system using the 99% probability of being in stock and                     (i) state the policy (order size and when to order),                     (ii) the total annual cost,…
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