Production and Operations Analysis, Seventh Edition
7th Edition
ISBN: 9781478623069
Author: Steven Nahmias, Tava Lennon Olsen
Publisher: Waveland Press, Inc.
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Chapter 13, Problem 44AP
Summary Introduction
Interpretation:
Effectiveness of strategy.
Concept Introduction:
The objective of optimal policy is to determine the value of 't’ that minimizes the total cost of maintenance and replacement over an infinite horizon.
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Do the following problems using either TreePlan
A student is deciding which scholarships (out of two) to accept. The first scholarship is worth $10,000 but carries the condition that recipients cannot accept another other forms of income (such as other scholarships). The second scholarship is awarded in a competition, where this student has a 50% chance of earning $7,000, a 40% chance of earning $10,000, and a 10% chance of earning $15,000. The student must inform the administrator of the first scholarship whether she will be accepting their offer today.
A. Develop a decision tree to determine which scholarship this student should accept (using our normal decision criteria).
B. Under what circumstance might the student accept the other scholarship?
A television network earns an average of $65 million each season from a hit program and loses an average of $25 million each season on a program that turns out to be a flop. Of all programs picked up by this network in recent years, 30% turn out to be hits; the rest turn out to be flops. At a cost of C dollars, a market research firm will analyze a pilot episode of a prospective program and issue a report predicting whether the given program will end up being a hit. If the program is actually going to be a hit, there is a 65% chance that the market researchers will predict the program to be a hit. If the program is actually going to be a flop, there is only a 40% chance that the market researchers will predict the program to be a hit.
a. What is the maximum value of C that the network should be willing to pay the market research firm? If needed, round your answer to three decimal digits.
A television network earns an average of $65 million each season from a hit program and loses an average of $25 million each season on a program that turns out to be a flop. Of all programs picked up by this network in recent years, 30% turn out to be hits; the rest turn out to be flops. At a cost of C dollars, a market research firm will analyze a pilot episode of a prospective program and issue a report predicting whether the given program will end up being a hit. If the program is actually going to be a hit, there is a 65% chance that the market researchers will predict the program to be a hit. If the program is actually going to be a flop, there is only a 40% chance that the market researchers will predict the program to be a hit.
a. What is the maximum value of C that the network should be willing to pay the market research firm? If needed, round your answer to three decimal digits.
b. Calculate and interpret EVPI for this decision problem. If needed, round your answer to one…
Chapter 13 Solutions
Production and Operations Analysis, Seventh Edition
Ch. 13.1 - Prob. 3PCh. 13.1 - Prob. 4PCh. 13.1 - Prob. 5PCh. 13.1 - Prob. 6PCh. 13.2 - Prob. 7PCh. 13.2 - Prob. 9PCh. 13.3 - Prob. 13PCh. 13.3 - Prob. 14PCh. 13.4 - Prob. 15PCh. 13.4 - Prob. 16P
Ch. 13.4 - Prob. 17PCh. 13.4 - Prob. 18PCh. 13.4 - Prob. 19PCh. 13.4 - Prob. 20PCh. 13.6 - Prob. 21PCh. 13.6 - Prob. 22PCh. 13.6 - Prob. 23PCh. 13.6 - Prob. 24PCh. 13.6 - Prob. 25PCh. 13.7 - Prob. 26PCh. 13.7 - Prob. 27PCh. 13.7 - Prob. 28PCh. 13.7 - Prob. 30PCh. 13.7 - Prob. 31PCh. 13.7 - Prob. 32PCh. 13.7 - Prob. 33PCh. 13.7 - Prob. 34PCh. 13.8 - Prob. 35PCh. 13.8 - Prob. 36PCh. 13.8 - Prob. 37PCh. 13.8 - Prob. 38PCh. 13.8 - Prob. 39PCh. 13.8 - Prob. 40PCh. 13.8 - Prob. 41PCh. 13 - Prob. 42APCh. 13 - Prob. 43APCh. 13 - Prob. 44APCh. 13 - Prob. 45APCh. 13 - Prob. 46APCh. 13 - Prob. 48APCh. 13 - Prob. 49APCh. 13 - Prob. 51APCh. 13 - Prob. 52APCh. 13 - Prob. 53AP
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