Loose Leaf for Statistical Techniques in Business and Economics
Loose Leaf for Statistical Techniques in Business and Economics
17th Edition
ISBN: 9781260152647
Author: Douglas A. Lind
Publisher: McGraw-Hill Education
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Chapter 18, Problem 20CE

a.

To determine

Plot the data.

b.

To determine

Determine the least squares trend equation.

c.

To determine

Calculate the points for the years 2008 and 2013.

d.

To determine

Estimate the selling price in 2018.

e.

To determine

Observe the average amount of increase or decrease in stock price during the period.

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1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 Price/Book Value Ratio Return on Equity 13.032 1.405 8.305 2.113 6.654 1.239 3.262 2.449 5.291 2.398 7.719 0.353 2.569 7.593 5.104 2.012 4.797 2.182 4.129 1.918 1.549 1.951 5.046 2.417 2.159 3.011 1.725 5.582 4.698 Growth% 6.385 11.846 135.669 12.459 0.073 25.092 14.188 8.804 22.766 38.082 18.985 25.696 24.519 19.666 11.624 22.849 49.965 69.649 36.696 3.819 41.139 9.218 29.108 17.772 25.114 29.295 23.764 31.405 9.497 14.759 18.541 12.026 39.016 14.228 39.439 14.097 27.022 14.841 13.237 20.669 17.311 14.887 15.849 5.601 16.775 11.172 8.401 16.161 18.404 23.973 16.673 14.725 46.605 28.839 52.021
In the last three years, there have been changes of 55%, 3% and 2% in the production amount of a good, respectively. What is the geometric mean of the annual rate of change?
John Kittle, an independent insurance agent, uses a five-year moving average to forecast the number of claims made in a single year for one of the large insurance companies he sells for. He has just discovered that a clerk in his employ incorrectly entered the number of claims made four years ago as 1,400 when it should have been 1,200.a. What adjustment should Mr. Kittle make in next year’s forecast to take into account the corrected value of the number of claims four years ago?b. Suppose that Mr. Kittle used simple exponential smoothing with a = .2instead of moving averages to determine his forecast. What adjustment is now required in next year’s forecast? (Note that you do not need to know the value of the forecast for next year in order to solve this problem.)
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