Bundle: Introduction to Statistics and Data Analysis, 5th + WebAssign Printed Access Card: Peck/Olsen/Devore. 5th Edition, Single-Term
Bundle: Introduction to Statistics and Data Analysis, 5th + WebAssign Printed Access Card: Peck/Olsen/Devore. 5th Edition, Single-Term
5th Edition
ISBN: 9781305620711
Author: Roxy Peck, Chris Olsen, Jay L. Devore
Publisher: Cengage Learning
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Chapter 6.4, Problem 42E

The paper “Good for Women, Good for Men, Bad for People: Simpson’s Paradox and the Importance of Sex-Specific Analysis in Observational Studies” (Journal of Women’s Health and Gender-Based Medicine [2001]: 867-872) described the results of a medical study in which one treatment was shown to be better for men and better for women than a competing treatment. However, if the data for men and women are combined, it appears as though the competing treatment is better.

To see how this can happen, consider the accompanying data tables constructed from information in the paper. Subjects in the study were given either Treatment A or Treatment B, and survival was noted. Let S be the event that a patient selected at random survives, A be the event that a patient selected at random received Treatment A, and B be the event that a patient selected at random received Treatment B.

  1. a. The following table summarizes data for men and women combined:

Chapter 6.4, Problem 42E, The paper Good for Women, Good for Men, Bad for People: Simpsons Paradox and the Importance of , example  1

  1. i. Find P(S).
  2. ii. Find P(S|A).
  3. iii. Find P(S|B).
  4. iv. Which treatment appears to be better?
  5. b. Now consider the summary data for the men who participated in the study:

Chapter 6.4, Problem 42E, The paper Good for Women, Good for Men, Bad for People: Simpsons Paradox and the Importance of , example  2

  1. v. Find P(S).
  2. vi. Find P(S|A).
  3. vii. Find P(S|B).
  4. viii. Which treatment appears to be better?
  5. c. Now consider the summary data for the women who participated in the study:

Chapter 6.4, Problem 42E, The paper Good for Women, Good for Men, Bad for People: Simpsons Paradox and the Importance of , example  3

  1. ix. Find P(S). looks like Treatment B is better. This is an
  2. x. Find P(S|A).
  3. xi. Find P(S|B).
  4. xii. Which treatment appears to be better?
  5. d. You should have noticed from Parts (b) and (c) that for both men and women, Treatment A appears to be better. But in Part (a), when the data for men and women are combined, it looks like Treatment B is better. This is an example of what is called Simpson’s paradox. Write a brief explanation of why this apparent inconsistency occurs for this data set. (Hint: Do men and women respond similarly to the two treatments?)
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Chapter 6 Solutions

Bundle: Introduction to Statistics and Data Analysis, 5th + WebAssign Printed Access Card: Peck/Olsen/Devore. 5th Edition, Single-Term

Ch. 6.1 - An engineering construction firm is currently...Ch. 6.1 - Consider a Venn diagram picturing two events A and...Ch. 6.3 - A large department store offers online ordering....Ch. 6.3 - The manager of a music store has kept records of...Ch. 6.3 - A bookstore sells two types of books (fiction and...Ch. 6.3 - ▼ Medical insurance status—covered (C) or not...Ch. 6.3 - Roulette is a game of chance that involves...Ch. 6.3 - Phoenix is a hub for a large airline. Suppose that...Ch. 6.3 - A professor assigns five problems to be completed...Ch. 6.3 - Refer to the following information on full-term...Ch. 6.3 - Prob. 21ECh. 6.3 - Prob. 22ECh. 6.3 - Prob. 23ECh. 6.3 - Prob. 24ECh. 6.3 - A deck of 52 playing cards is mixed well, and 5...Ch. 6.3 - Prob. 26ECh. 6.3 - The student council for a school of science and...Ch. 6.3 - A student placement center has requests from five...Ch. 6.3 - Prob. 29ECh. 6.4 - Two different airlines have a flight from Los...Ch. 6.4 - The article Chances Are You Know Someone with a...Ch. 6.4 - The accompanying data are from the article...Ch. 6.4 - The following graphical display is similar to one...Ch. 6.4 - Delayed diagnosis of cancer is a problem because...Ch. 6.4 - The events E and T are defined as E = the event...Ch. 6.4 - The newspaper article Folic Acid Might Reduce Risk...Ch. 6.4 - Suppose that an individual is randomly selected...Ch. 6.4 - Is ultrasound a reliable method for determining...Ch. 6.4 - The table at the top of the next page summarizes...Ch. 6.4 - USA Today (June 6, 2000) gave information on seal...Ch. 6.4 - Prob. 41ECh. 6.4 - The paper Good for Women, Good for Men, Bad for...Ch. 6.5 - Many fire stations handle emergency calls for...Ch. 6.5 - The paper Predictors of Complementary Therapy Use...Ch. 6.5 - The report TV Drama/Comedy Viewers and Health...Ch. 6.5 - Prob. 46ECh. 6.5 - Prob. 47ECh. 6.5 - In a small city, approximately 15% of those...Ch. 6.5 - Jeanie is a bit forgetful, and if she doesnt make...Ch. 6.5 - Prob. 50ECh. 6.5 - Prob. 51ECh. 6.5 - Prob. 52ECh. 6.5 - The following case study was reported in the...Ch. 6.5 - Three friends (A, B, and C) will participate in a...Ch. 6.5 - Prob. 55ECh. 6.5 - A store sells two different brands of dishwasher...Ch. 6.5 - The National Public Radio show Car Talk used to...Ch. 6.5 - Refer to the previous exercise. Suppose now that...Ch. 6.6 - A university has 10 vehicles available for use by...Ch. 6.6 - Prob. 60ECh. 6.6 - Prob. 61ECh. 6.6 - Let F denote the event that a randomly selected...Ch. 6.6 - According to a July 31, 2013 posting on cnn.com, a...Ch. 6.6 - Suppose that Blue Cab operates 15% of the taxis in...Ch. 6.6 - A large cable company reports the following: 80%...Ch. 6.6 - Refer to the information given in the previous...Ch. 6.6 - The authors of the paper Do Physicians Know When...Ch. 6.6 - A study of how people are using online services...Ch. 6.6 - Prob. 69ECh. 6.6 - Prob. 70ECh. 6.6 - Prob. 71ECh. 6.6 - Prob. 72ECh. 6.6 - Prob. 73ECh. 6.6 - The paper referenced in the previous exercise also...Ch. 6.6 - In an article that appears on the web site of the...Ch. 6.6 - Prob. 76ECh. 6.6 - Only 0.1% of the individuals in a certain...Ch. 6.7 - The Los Angeles Times (June 14, 1995) reported...Ch. 6.7 - Five hundred first-year students at a state...Ch. 6.7 - The table given below describes (approximately)...Ch. 6.7 - On April 1, 2010, the Bureau of the Census in the...Ch. 6 - A company uses three different assembly linesA1,...Ch. 6 - Prob. 88CRCh. 6 - Prob. 89CRCh. 6 - Prob. 90CRCh. 6 - Prob. 91CRCh. 6 - A company sends 40% of its overnight mail parcels...Ch. 6 - Prob. 93CRCh. 6 - Prob. 94CRCh. 6 - In a school machine shop, 60% of all machine...Ch. 6 - There are five faculty members in a certain...Ch. 6 - The general addition rule for three events states...Ch. 6 - A theater complex is currently showing four...Ch. 6 - Prob. 100CRCh. 6 - Suppose that a box contains 25 light bulbs, of...Ch. 6 - Prob. 102CRCh. 6 - A transmitter is sending a message using a binary...
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