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Concept explainers
a
Interpretation:The best alternative in case of maximin decision criteria is to be determined.
Concept Introduction:
Maximin:is regarded as the pessimist’s approach.
The highest of a set of minimum values is defined as maximin. That is the largest among the set of minimum possible gains.
b
Interpretation: The best alternative in case of maximax decision criteria is to be determined.
Concept Introduction:
Maximax:is regarded as the optimist’s approach. This rule involves selecting the option that maximizes the maximum payoff available.
c
Interpretation: The best alternative in case of minimax regret decision criteria is to be determined.
Concept Introduction:
Minimax:is regarded as another pessimistic approach. It is the one that minimizes the maximum regret.
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Chapter A Solutions
Operations Management: Processes and Supply Chains, Student Value Edition Plus MyLab Operations Management with Pearson eText -- Access Card Package (11th Edition)
- A manager is trying to decide whether to build a small, medium or large facility. Demand can be low, average, or hit, with the estimated probabilities being 0.25, 0.40, and 0.35 respectively A small facility is expected to earn an after-tax net present value of just $18,000 if demand is low. If demand is average, the small facility is expected to earn $75,000; it can be increased to medium size to earn a net present value of $60,000. If demand is high, the small facility is expected to earn $75,000 and can be expanded to medium size to earn $60,000 or large to earn $125,000. A medium-size facility is expected to lose an estimated $25,000 if demand is low and earn $140,000 if demand is average. If demand is high, the medium-size facility is expected to earn a net present value of $150,000; it can be expanded to a large size for a net payoff of $145,000. If a large facility is built and demand is high, earnings are expected to be $220,000. If demand is average for the large facility,…arrow_forwardA manager is trying to decide whether to build a small, medium or large facility. Demand can be low, average, or hit, with the estimated probabilities being 0.25, 0.40, and 0.35 respectively A small facility is expected to earn an after-tax net present value of just $18,000 if demand is low. If demand is average, the small facility is expected to earn $75,000; it can be increased to medium size to earn a net present value of $60,000. If demand is high, the small facility is expected to earn $75,000 and can be expanded to medium size to earn $60,000 or to large to earn $125,000. A medium-size facility is expected to lose an estimated $25,000 if demand is low and earn $140,000 if demand is average. If demand is high, the medium-size facility is expected to earn a net present value of $150,000; it can be expanded to a large size for a net payoff of $145,000. If a large facility is built and demand is high, earnings are expected to be $220,000. If demand is average for the large facility,…arrow_forwardA manager is trying to decide whether to build a small, medium or large facility. Demand can be low, average or high, with the estimated probabilities being 0.25, 0.40 and 0.35, respectively. A small facility is expected to earn an after-tax net present value of just $18,000 if demand is low. If demand is average, the small facility is expected to earn $75,000; it can be increased to medium size to earn a net present value of $60,000. If demand is high, the small facility is expected to earn $75,000 and can be expanded to medium $60,000 or large to earn $125,000. A medium-sized facility is expected to lose an estimated $25,000 if demand is low and earn $140,000 if demand is average. If demand is high, the medium-sized facility is expected to earn a net present value of $150,000; it can be expanded to a large size for a net payoff of $145,000. If a large facility is build and demand is high, earnings are expected to be $220,000. If demand is average for the large facility, the present…arrow_forward
- A firm is weighing three capacity alternatives: small, medium, and large job shop.Whatever capacity choice is made, the market for the firm’s product can be “moderate”or “strong.” The probability of moderate acceptance is estimated to be 40%; strongacceptance has a probability of 60%. The payoffs are as follows. Small job shop,moderate market = $24,000; Small job shop, strong market = $54,000. Medium job shop,moderate market = $20,000; medium job shop, strong market = $64,000.Large job shop,moderate market = -$2,000; large job shop, strong market = $96,000. Which capacitychoice should the firm make?arrow_forwardA firm must decide whether to construct a small, medium, or large stamping plant. A consultant’s report indicates a 0.20 probability that demand will be low and a 0.80 probability that demand will be high. If the firms builds a small facility and demand turns out to be low, the net present value will be $42 million. If demand turns out to be high, the firm can either subcontract and realize the net present value of S$42 million or expand greatly for a net present value of $48 million. The firm could build a medium size facility as a hedge: if demand turns out to be low, its net present value is estimated at $22 million; if demand turns out to be high, the firm could do nothing and realize a net present value of $46 million, or it could expand and realize a net present value of $50 million. If the firm builds a large facility and demand is low, the net present value will be -$20 million, whereas high demand will result in a net present value of $72 million. Analyze and prepare a…arrow_forwardA manager is trying to decide whether to build a small,medium, or large facility. Demand can be low, average,or high, with the estimated probabilities being 0.25, 0.40,and 0.35, respectively.A small facility is expected to earn an after-tax net pres-ent value of just $18,000 if demand is low. If demand isaverage, the small facility is expected to earn $75,000; it canbe increased to medium size to earn a net present value of$60,000. If demand is high, the small facility is expected to earn $75,000 and can be expanded to medium size to earn$60,000 or to large size to earn $125,000.A medium-sized facility is expected to lose an estimated$25,000 if demand is low and earn $140,000 if demand isaverage. If demand is high, the medium-sized facility isexpected to earn a net present value of $150,000; it can beexpanded to a large size for a net payoff of $145,000.If a large facility is built and demand is high, earningsare expected to be $220,000. If demand is average for thelarge facility, the…arrow_forward
- A firm is weighing three capacity alternatives: small, medium, and large job shop. Whatever capacity choice is made, the market for the firm’s product can be “moderate” or “strong.” The probability of moderate acceptance is estimated to be 40%; strong acceptance has a probability of 60%. The payoffs are as follows. Small job shop, moderate market = $24,000; Small job shop, strong market = $54,000. Medium job shop, moderate market = $20,000; medium job shop, strong market = $64,000.Large job shop, moderate market = -$2,000; large job shop, strong market = $96,000. Which capacity choice should the firm makearrow_forwardThe lease of Theme Park, Inc., is about to expire. Management must decide whether to renew the lease for another 10 years or to relocate near the site of a proposed motel. The town planning board is currently debating the merits of granting approval to the motel. A consultant has estimated the net present value of Theme Park's two alternatives under each state of nature as shown below. Suppose that the management of Theme Park, Inc., has decided that there is a 0.40 probability that the motel's application will be approved. Motel Motel Options Rejected $4,500,000 300,000 Approved Renew $ 600,000 Relocate 2,500,000 а-1. If management uses maximum expected monetary value as the decision criterion, calculate expected monetary value for the alternatives "Renew" and "Relocate". Alternative Expected Value Renew Relocatearrow_forwardToday’s Electronics specializes in manufacturing modern electronic components. It also builds the equipment that produces the components. Phyllis Weinberger, who is responsible for advising the president of Today’s Electronics on electronic manufacturing equipment, has developed the following table concerning a proposed facility: Payoffs Outcomes Large facility 550,000 -310,000 Medium-sized facility 300,000 -100,000 Small facility 200,000 -32,000 No facility 0 0 Develop an opportunity loss table. What is the minimax regret decision? Note:- Do not provide handwritten solution. Maintain accuracy and quality in your answer. Take care of plagiarism. Answer completely. You will get up vote for sure.arrow_forward
- Expando, Inc. is considering the possibility of building an additional factory that would produce a new addition to its product line. The company is currently considering two options. The first is a small facility that it could build at a cost of $6 million. If the demand for new products is low, the company expects to receive $10 million in discounted revenues (present value of future revenues) with the small facility. On the other hand, if demand is high, it expects $12 million in discounted revenues using the small facility. The second option is to build a large factory at a cost of $9 million. Were demand to below, the company would expect $10 million in discounted revenues with the large plant. If demand is high, the company estimates that the discounted revenues would be $14 million. In eithercase, the probability of demand being high is .40, and the probability of it being low is .60. Not constructing a new factory would result in no additional revenue being generated because…arrow_forwardA firm must decide whether to construct a small, medium or large stamping plant. A consultant’s report indicates a 0.20 probability that demand will be low and 0.80 that demand will be high. If the firm builds a small facility and demand turns out to be low, the Net Present Value (NPV) willbe $42M. If demand turns out to be high, the firm can either subcontract and realize the NPV of $42M orexpand greatly for a Net Present Value of $48M. The firm could build a medium size facility as a hedge: if demand turns out to be low, its NPV is estimated at $22M; if demand turns out to be high, the firm could do nothing and realize a NPV of $46M, or could expand and realize a NPV of $50M. If the firm builds a large facility and demand is low, the NPV will be ($20M), whereas high demand will result in a NPV of $72M. Compute the EVPI *arrow_forwardA rock concert producer has scheduled an outdoor concert. The producer estimates the attendance will depend on the weather according to the following table. Weather Attendance Probability wet, cold 4000 0.1 wet, warm 25000 0.1 dry, cold 30000 0.1 dry, warm 45000 0.7 (a) What is the expected attendance? (b) If tickets cost $ 30 each, the band will cost $ 250,000, plus $ 55,000 for administration. What is the expected profit?arrow_forward
- Practical Management ScienceOperations ManagementISBN:9781337406659Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.Publisher:Cengage,
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