Operations Management: Processes and Supply Chains (12th Edition) (What's New in Operations Management)
Operations Management: Processes and Supply Chains (12th Edition) (What's New in Operations Management)
12th Edition
ISBN: 9780134741062
Author: Lee J. Krajewski, Manoj K. Malhotra, Larry P. Ritzman
Publisher: PEARSON
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Chapter A, Problem 22P
Summary Introduction

Interpretation: The expected payoff for the best alternative is to be determined by using the decision tree.

Concept Introduction:

Decision tree can be defined as the decision support tool or tree like decision model which is used to represents the series of decisions and their objective way to evaluate the alterative.

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Given is a decision payoff table and a Sub Decision Payoff Table. Use Minimax Regret as an evaluation criterion to evaluate alternatives.     Future Demand   Alternatives Low Moderate High Small Facility 14 12 13 Medium Facility -1 17 23 Large Facility -5 11 29   Alternatives Worst Regrets Small Facility ? Medium Facility ? Large Facility ?  a) The worst regrets for alternative Small Facility is  b) The worst regrets for alternative Medium Facility is  c) The worst regrets for alternative Large Facility is  d) The best course of action or decision by using Minimax Regret is to select (           ) facility
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Please answer a, b and c. Question four Bakery Products is considering the introduction of a new line of products. In order to produce the new line, the bakery is considering either a major or minor renovation of the current plant. Bakery Products has the option of not developing the new line at all. The decision alternatives are shown in the payoff table below as well as the states of nature and probabilities. Payoffs are profits;    Before making the final decision, Bakery Products can pay a market research firm $500.00 to survey consumer attitudes towards the company's products. The results can be either “vibrant” or “limp”. The reliability of the company, based on past performance, is given below.    That is: P(V|F) = 0.80;P(V|N) = 0.60;P(V|U) = 0.30; P(L|F) = 0.20;P(L|N) = 0.40;P(L|U) = 0.70;    a) Computed the revised probabilities round to two decimal places. b) After you have computed the revised probabilities round to two decimal places, construct the appropriate decision tree…
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