Operations Management: Sustainability And Supply Chain Management Custom Edition For Temple University, Version 3
11th Edition
ISBN: 9781269383578
Author: HEIZER
Publisher: PEARSON
expand_more
expand_more
format_list_bulleted
Concept explainers
Videos
Textbook Question
Chapter A, Problem 24P
Question
•••• A.24 On the opening page of Module A and in Example A8, we follow the poker decision made by Paul Phillips against veteran T.J. Cloutier. Create a decision tree that corresponds with the decision made by Phillips.
At the Legends of Poker tournament in Los Angeles, veteran T.J. Cloutier opens with a $60,000 bet. (Antes and required bets of $39,000 are already on the table.) Former Go2net CTO Paul Phillips ponders going “all in”—betting virtually all his chips. Using decision theory, here’s how he decided.
“To see the details of Phillips’s decision, see Example A8.
As on the first page in this module, Paul Phillips is deciding whether to bet all his chips against poker star T.J. Cloutier. Philips holds a pair of 7s. Phillips reasons that T.J. will fold (with 80% probability) if he does not have a pair of 5s or better, or very high cards like a jack, queen, king, or ace. But he also figures that a call would put $853,000 into the pot and surmises that even then, there is 45% chance his pair of 7s will win.
Expert Solution & Answer
Want to see the full answer?
Check out a sample textbook solution
Students have asked these similar questions
Question
Suppose there are only two goods: Beer and Milk. Tom’s preference over bundles of beer and milk is as follows: For any two bundles A = (bA, mA) and B = (bB, mB) (where b and m denotes the amount of beer and milk, respectively), A ≿ B (i.e., “A is at least as good as B”) if and only if:
Either bA > bB;
Or bA = bB and mA ≥ mB.
In other words, Tom cares, first and foremost, about the amount of beer, but if the two bundles contain the same amount of beer, then he prefers having more milk to less.
• Is Tom’s preference complete? If yes, show why; if no, give an example of two bundles which Tom cannot compare.
• Is Tom’s preference monotone? Strongly monotone?
• Does Tom’s preference comply with the property of diminishing marginal rate of substitution?
dent question
I am having trouble formulating the objective function and constraints. Jeremy Manufacturing Company produces connecting rods for 4- and 6-cylinder automobile engines using the same production line. The cost required to set up the production line to produce the 4-cylinder rods is $1800 and the cost required to set up the production line for the 6-cylinder rods is $3200. Manufacturing costs are $16 for each 4-cylinder connecting rod and $20 for each 6-cylinder connecting rod. The production capacities are 5800 and 7200 for 6 and 4 cylinder rods respectively. The operating budget is $100,000. The selling prices are $55 per 4-cylinder rod and $70 per 6-cylinder rod. What is the optimal number of 4 and 6 cylinder rods that should be produced by the company? Identify the type of integer programming framework (Total Integer, Mixed Integer or Binary) that applies to this problem, develop the appropriate formulation (decision variables, objective function and constraints)
Question 5
AIT computer department purchases a new computer every two years with preferences for three models; T1, T2 and T3. If the present model is T1, the next computer may be T2 with probability 0.2 or T3 with probability 0.15. If the present model is T2, the probabilities of switching to T1 and T3 are 0.6 and 0.25 respectively. And if present model is T3 then, the probabilities of switching to T1 and T2 are 0.5 and 0.1 respectively. Represent the situation as a Markov chain.
Chapter A Solutions
Operations Management: Sustainability And Supply Chain Management Custom Edition For Temple University, Version 3
Ch. A - Prob. 1DQCh. A - Prob. 2DQCh. A - Prob. 3DQCh. A - Prob. 4DQCh. A - Prob. 5DQCh. A - Question: 6. Explain how decision trees might be...Ch. A - Prob. 7DQCh. A - Prob. 8DQCh. A - Question 9. Identify the five steps in analyzing a...Ch. A - Prob. 10DQ
Ch. A - Question 11. The expected value criterion is...Ch. A - Question 12. When are decision trees most useful?Ch. A - Given the following conditional value table,...Ch. A - Prob. 2PCh. A - Prob. 3PCh. A - Jeffrey Helm owns a health and fitness center...Ch. A - Prob. 5PCh. A - Prob. 6PCh. A - Prob. 7PCh. A - Prob. 8PCh. A - Prob. 9PCh. A - Prob. 10PCh. A - The University of Miami bookstore stocks textbooks...Ch. A - Palmer Jam Company is a small manufacturer of...Ch. A - Prob. 13PCh. A - Prob. 14PCh. A - Prob. 15PCh. A - Prob. 16PCh. A - Prob. 17PCh. A - Prob. 18PCh. A - Prob. 19PCh. A - Philip Musa can build either a large video rental...Ch. A - Prob. 21PCh. A - Prob. 22PCh. A - Prob. 23PCh. A - Question A.24 On the opening page of Module A and...Ch. A - Question Warehouse Tenting at the Port of Miami...Ch. A - Question Warehouse Tenting at the Port of Miami...Ch. A - Question Warehouse Tenting at the Port of Miami...
Knowledge Booster
Learn more about
Need a deep-dive on the concept behind this application? Look no further. Learn more about this topic, operations-management and related others by exploring similar questions and additional content below.Similar questions
- Question ThreeThe management of a supermarket wants to adopt a new promotional policy ofgiving free gift to every customer who spends more than a certain amount pervisit at this supermarket. The expectation of the management is that after thispromotional policy is advertised, the expenditure for all customers at thissupermarket will be normally distributed with mean 400 £ and a variance of900£2.1) If the management wants to give free gifts to at most 10% of the customers,what should the amount be above which a customer would receive a free gift?2) In a sample of 100 customers, what are the number of customers whoseexpenditure is between 420 £ and 485 £?3) What is a probability of selecting a customer whose expenditure is differ thanthe population mean expenditure by at most 50 £?4) What is the probability that the expenditure of the first customer exceeds theexpenditure of the second customer by at least 20 £?5) In a sample of 250, find the count that corresponds to the interquartile…arrow_forwardQuestion 1 B A company produces 2 (two) different grades of gasoline – regular and premium from 3(three) components (1,2,3). The company wants to determine the optimal mix of the three components in each grade of the gasoline that will maximize profit. The maximum quantities available for each component and their cost per gallon are as follows:Component Cost per gallon maximum gallons available per day 1 2.50 5,000 2 2.60 10,000 3 2.84 10,000 In order to ensure the appropriate blend, each grade has certain specifications as follows: Grade Component Specs Selling Price per gallon Regular At most 30% component 1 At least 40% component 2 At most 20% component 3 2.90 Premium At least 25% component 1 At most 45% component 2 At Least 30% component 3 3.00 The company wants to produce at least 10,000 gallons of each grade of gasoline. Formulate a LP model including the ratio constraints, production constraints and the objective function for this question.arrow_forwardQuestion 38 Pasensya Ka Na Ha God Bless Co., an investment company, is constructing a complex of four residential rental buildings that will have more than 100 units. The complex is in a geographic area that has a long rainy season. Which of the following steps would likely be most essential to monitoring and mitigating the risk of rain damage? a. Assuring compliance with local codes during construction b. Establish a reserve for capital expenditures, if needed c. Actively encouraging renters to report possible problems d. Monthly inspection by internal maintenance staff and annual assessment by external engineering firms Question 39 Which of the following is the best approach in assessing an organization's risk management approach? a. Consider multiple components of an organization's industry, culture, and objectives to determine the most effective risk management approach b. Find out what is the most common framework being used by competitors in the industry c.…arrow_forward
- Question 1 PKG Electric makes two types of electric fans, ceiling fan and wall fans. Each ceiling fan requires two circuit boards and four hours assembly time. Each wall fan requires two circuit boards and one-hour assembly time. The profit of each ceiling fan and wall fan are RM25 and RM15 respectively. The company produces its own circuit boards and its capacity is 54 per week. Currently, the company has 48 hours of assembly time per week. The company wishes to maximize the profit. Let x = ceiling fan, y = wall fan Solve: 1. Formulate the problem as a linear programming model. 2. What is the maximum profit? 3. Later, the company was informed by its retailers that the demand for the wall fans is at most 12 units per week. What is the new maximum profit? Question 2 Lee Chong Wei has two photocopy machines P and Q. Machine P can make at most 16 copies per minute, while machine Q can make at most 20 copies per minute. Lee Chong Wei wants to make at least 150 copies in 5 minutes.…arrow_forwardQuestion 2 A particular road is used by N drivers each day. Each driver obtains a benefit v from the journey and incurs a cost c(N ) that increases with the number of drivers on the road due to congestion. Suppose that the cost incurred is given by c(N) = a+bN, for some positive numbers a, b. If the agent decides not to use the road, they receive 0. You may assume throughout that the number of drivers N can be any real number (rather than an integer). Each driver uses the road at most once. the number of drivers that join the road is Ne = (v−a)/b (iv) Suppose that the government charges a toll t (a congestion charge) for each journey. Find the optimum toll. Interpret your answer in terms of the externality that each driver imposes on others.arrow_forwardQuestion content area Part 1 Phillip Witt, president of Witt Input Devices, wishes to create a portfolio of local suppliers for his new line of keyboards. As the suppliers all reside in a location prone to hurricanes, tornadoes, flooding, and earthquakes, Phillip believes that the probability in any year of a "super-event" that might shut down all suppliers at the same time at least 2 weeks is 3%. Such a total shutdown would cost the company approximately $480,000. He estimates the "unique-event" risk for any of the suppliers to be 5%. Assuming that the marginal cost of managing an additional supplier is $14,800 per year, how many suppliers should Witt Input Devices use? Assume that up to three nearly identical local suppliers are available. Part 2 Find the EMV for alternatives using 1, 2, or 3 suppliers. EMV(1)=$________ (Enter your response rounded to the nearest whole number.) Part 3 EMV(2)=$________ (Enter your response rounded to the nearest whole…arrow_forward
- Question Nyame Bekyere Wholesale Supply and Distribution Company sells parts, equipment, and supplies for recreational activities like plastic slides, bouncy castles, swings and electronic trains. In addition, NBWSDC has a service department for the repair and service of the recreational items. The owner, Mr. Osei Nyame Bekyere, bought the company five years ago from its original owner. The organization is set up in three divisions: service, retail parts and supplies, and wholesale. The owner and president, has a vice president for each operating division, for example the warehouse has three groups: receiving (checking orders for completeness, returning defective merchandise, stocking the shelves, filling orders), service parts, and order filling for distribution to customers. The warehouse group is responsible for all activities related to parts and supplies receiving, storage, and distribution. The retail sales division includes all functions related to selling of parts and…arrow_forwardQUESTION A The Miramar Company is going to introduce one of three new products: a widget, a hummer, or a nimnot. The market conditions (favorable, stable, or unfavorable) will determine the profit or loss the company realizes, as shown in the following payoff table: State of Nature Favourable Stable Unfavourable Product 0.2 0.7 0.1 Widget $ 120,000 $ 70,000 $ –30,000 Hummer 60,000 40,000 20,000 Nimnot 35,000 30,000 30,000 Determine the best decision, using the following decision criteria Maximax Maximin LaPlacearrow_forwardQUESTION A The Miramar Company is going to introduce one of three new products: a widget, a hummer, or a nimnot. The market conditions (favorable, stable, or unfavorable) will determine the profit or loss the company realizes, as shown in the following payoff table: State of Nature Favourable Stable Unfavourable Product 0.2 0.7 0.1 Widget $ 120,000 $ 70,000 $ –30,000 Hummer 60,000 40,000 20,000 Nimnot 35,000 30,000 30,000 Compute the expected value for each decision and select the best one. Develop the opportunity loss table and compute the expected opportunity loss for each product.arrow_forward
- QUESTION A The Miramar Company is going to introduce one of three new products: a widget, a hummer, or a nimnot. The market conditions (favorable, stable, or unfavorable) will determine the profit or loss the company realizes, as shown in the following payoff table: State of Nature Favourable Stable Unfavourable Product 0.2 0.7 0.1 Widget $ 120,000 $ 70,000 $ –30,000 Hummer 60,000 40,000 20,000 Nimnot 35,000 30,000 30,000 Compute the expected value for each decision and select the best one.arrow_forwardQUESTION A The Miramar Company is going to introduce one of three new products: a widget, a hummer, or a nimnot. The market conditions (favorable, stable, or unfavorable) will determine the profit or loss the company realizes, as shown in the following payoff table: State of Nature Favourable Stable Unfavourable Product 0.2 0.7 0.1 Widget $ 120,000 $ 70,000 $ –30,000 Hummer 60,000 40,000 20,000 Nimnot 35,000 30,000 30,000 Compute the expected value for each decision and select the best one. B.Develop the opportunity loss table and compute the expected opportunity loss for each product.arrow_forwardQuestion #4 - Jerry Smith is thinking about opening a bicycle shop in his hometown. Jerry loves to take his own bike on 50-mile trips with his friends, but he believes that any small business should be started only if there is a good chance of making a profit. Jerry can open a small shop, a large shop, or no shop at all. The profits will depend on the size of the shop and whether the market is favorable or unfavorable for his products. Because there will be a 5-year lease on the building that Jerry is thinking about using, he wants to make sure that he makes the correct decision. Jerry is also thinking about hiring his old marketing professor to conduct a marketing research study. If the study is conducted, the study could be favorable (i.e., predicting a favorable market) or unfavorable (i.e., predicting an unfavorable market). Develop a decision tree for Jerry.arrow_forward
arrow_back_ios
SEE MORE QUESTIONS
arrow_forward_ios
Recommended textbooks for you
Practical Management ScienceOperations ManagementISBN:9781337406659Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.Publisher:Cengage,
Operations ManagementOperations ManagementISBN:9781259667473Author:William J StevensonPublisher:McGraw-Hill Education
Operations and Supply Chain Management (Mcgraw-hi...Operations ManagementISBN:9781259666100Author:F. Robert Jacobs, Richard B ChasePublisher:McGraw-Hill Education
Purchasing and Supply Chain ManagementOperations ManagementISBN:9781285869681Author:Robert M. Monczka, Robert B. Handfield, Larry C. Giunipero, James L. PattersonPublisher:Cengage Learning
Production and Operations Analysis, Seventh Editi...Operations ManagementISBN:9781478623069Author:Steven Nahmias, Tava Lennon OlsenPublisher:Waveland Press, Inc.
Practical Management Science
Operations Management
ISBN:9781337406659
Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher:Cengage,
Operations Management
Operations Management
ISBN:9781259667473
Author:William J Stevenson
Publisher:McGraw-Hill Education
Operations and Supply Chain Management (Mcgraw-hi...
Operations Management
ISBN:9781259666100
Author:F. Robert Jacobs, Richard B Chase
Publisher:McGraw-Hill Education
Purchasing and Supply Chain Management
Operations Management
ISBN:9781285869681
Author:Robert M. Monczka, Robert B. Handfield, Larry C. Giunipero, James L. Patterson
Publisher:Cengage Learning
Production and Operations Analysis, Seventh Editi...
Operations Management
ISBN:9781478623069
Author:Steven Nahmias, Tava Lennon Olsen
Publisher:Waveland Press, Inc.
Introduction to Forecasting; Author: Ekeeda;https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5eIbVXrJL7k;License: Standard YouTube License, CC-BY