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Chapter A, Problem 5DQ
Summary Introduction

To define: The decision tree

Introduction: Decision-making is the process that helps to make decision. It is the process of choosing the best alternative by evaluating many alternatives.

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QUESTION TWO A property development company is planning to build a block of student apartments in Lusaka’s Mass Media area. The company is yet to decide what size of block to build: a small, medium, or large. The payoffs of each size will depend on the demand for student accommodation in the area, which could be low, medium, high. The Developer estimates a 25%, 35%, and 40% chance of low, medium, and high demand, respectively. Below is a payoffs matrix (in K’000) showing the annual payoffs for the decision problem.   Size of Block Market Demand Low Medium High Small 400 400 400 Medium 200 500 500 Large -400 300 800 Required: Identify the decision alternatives and uncertain conditions surrounding them? What is the optimal decision if the Developer is conservative? What is the optimal decision if the Developer is a risk taker? What is the optimal decision if the Developer wishes to minimize the Expected Opportunity Loss on the decision to…
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Question 4An investor is to purchase one of three types of real estate, as illustrated in Figure below. Theinvestor must decide among an apartment building, an office building, and a warehouse. Thefuture states of nature that will determine how much profit the investor will make are goodeconomic conditions and poor economic conditions. The profits that will result from eachdecision in the event of each state of nature are shown in Table below:       a) Find the optimal act using Maxi-Max criteriab) Find the optimal act using Mini-Max criteria  c) Find the optimal act using Maxi-Min criteria  d) Find the optimal act using Min-Max regret table
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