A final step in regression analysis is an examination of the residuals in a residual plot. This allows you to test the assumptions of the regression model itself by looking for patterns in the residuals. The residual plot for the problem is as follows: FIGURE. RESIDUAL PLOT FOR U.S. DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORATION PROBLEM Percent Under 21 Residual Plot 2 1.5 1 0.5 半 to 16 10 12 14 18 20 -0.5 -1 -1.5 Percent under 21 Which statement offers the best interpretation of the residual plot? O It appears that the residual plot exhibits a pattern whereby a linear model may not be adequate or the best fit, indicating that an assumption of the linear model may have been violated. O It appears that the residual plot exhibits a good pattern of constant variance, indicating that the equal variance assumption of the model is supported. aEcumption of the model is not supported. Residuals -00

ENGR.ECONOMIC ANALYSIS
14th Edition
ISBN:9780190931919
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Chapter1: Making Economics Decisions
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As an auto insurance risk analyst, it is your job to research risk profiles for various types of drivers. One common area of concern for auto insurance companies
is the risk involved when offering policies to younger, less experienced drivers. The U.S. Department of Transportation recently conducted a study in which it
analyzed the relationship between 1) the number of fatal accidents per 1000 licenses, and 2) the percentage of licensed drivers under the age of 21 in a sample
of 42 cities.
Your first step in the analysis is to construct a scatterplot of the data.
FIGURE. SCATTERPLOT FOR U.S. DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORATION PROBLEM
U.S. Department of Transportation
The Relationship Between Fatal Accident Frequency and Driver Age
4.5
3.5
3
2.5
2.
1.5
0.5
8.
10
12
14
16
18
20
Percentage of drivers under age 21
Upon visual inspection, you determine that the variables do have a linear relationship. After a linear pattern has been established visually, you now proceed with
performing linear regression analysis. The results are as follows:
TABLE. LINEAR REGRESSION OUTPUTFORU.S. DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION PROBLEM
Standard Error
t Statistic
p-value
Coefficients
-1.5974
0.3717
-4.2979
0.0001
Intercept
0.2871
0.0294
9.7671
0.0000
Percent Under 21
Fatal accidents per 1000 licenses
1.
Transcribed Image Text:As an auto insurance risk analyst, it is your job to research risk profiles for various types of drivers. One common area of concern for auto insurance companies is the risk involved when offering policies to younger, less experienced drivers. The U.S. Department of Transportation recently conducted a study in which it analyzed the relationship between 1) the number of fatal accidents per 1000 licenses, and 2) the percentage of licensed drivers under the age of 21 in a sample of 42 cities. Your first step in the analysis is to construct a scatterplot of the data. FIGURE. SCATTERPLOT FOR U.S. DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORATION PROBLEM U.S. Department of Transportation The Relationship Between Fatal Accident Frequency and Driver Age 4.5 3.5 3 2.5 2. 1.5 0.5 8. 10 12 14 16 18 20 Percentage of drivers under age 21 Upon visual inspection, you determine that the variables do have a linear relationship. After a linear pattern has been established visually, you now proceed with performing linear regression analysis. The results are as follows: TABLE. LINEAR REGRESSION OUTPUTFORU.S. DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION PROBLEM Standard Error t Statistic p-value Coefficients -1.5974 0.3717 -4.2979 0.0001 Intercept 0.2871 0.0294 9.7671 0.0000 Percent Under 21 Fatal accidents per 1000 licenses 1.
A final step in regression analysis is an examination of the residuals in a residual plot. This allows you to test the assumptions of the regression model itself by
looking for patterns in the residuals. The residual plot for the problem is as follows:
FIGURE. RESIDUAL PLOT FOR U.S. DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORATION PROBLEM
Percent
Under 21 Residual Plot
2
1.5
0.5
半
10
12
14
16
18
20
6.
-0.5
-1
-1.5
Percent
under 21
Which statement offers the best interpretation of the residual plot?
O It appears that the residual plot exhibits a pattern whereby a linear model may not be adequate or the best fit, indicating that an assumption of the linear model may
have been violated.
O It appears that the residual plot exhibits a good pattern of constant variance, indicating that the equal variance assumption of the model is supported.
It appears that the residual plot exhibits a good pattern of constant variance, indicating that the equal variance assumption of the model is not supported.
O It appears that the residual plot exhibits a pattern of non-constant variance, indicating that an assumption of the linear model may have been violated.
米米
* *
1.
Residuals
Transcribed Image Text:A final step in regression analysis is an examination of the residuals in a residual plot. This allows you to test the assumptions of the regression model itself by looking for patterns in the residuals. The residual plot for the problem is as follows: FIGURE. RESIDUAL PLOT FOR U.S. DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORATION PROBLEM Percent Under 21 Residual Plot 2 1.5 0.5 半 10 12 14 16 18 20 6. -0.5 -1 -1.5 Percent under 21 Which statement offers the best interpretation of the residual plot? O It appears that the residual plot exhibits a pattern whereby a linear model may not be adequate or the best fit, indicating that an assumption of the linear model may have been violated. O It appears that the residual plot exhibits a good pattern of constant variance, indicating that the equal variance assumption of the model is supported. It appears that the residual plot exhibits a good pattern of constant variance, indicating that the equal variance assumption of the model is not supported. O It appears that the residual plot exhibits a pattern of non-constant variance, indicating that an assumption of the linear model may have been violated. 米米 * * 1. Residuals
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