Basic Business Statistics, Student Value Edition
14th Edition
ISBN: 9780134685113
Author: Mark L. Berenson, David M. Levine, David F. Stephan, Kathryn Szabat
Publisher: PEARSON
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Chapter 16, Problem 36PS
a.
To determine
Perform a residual analysis.
b.
To determine
Compute
c.
To determine
Compute the MAD.
d.
To determine
Discuss which forecasting model should selected.
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Calculate the PRESS statistic for the model developed from the estimation data in Problem 11.2. How well is the model likely to predict? Compare this indication of predictive performance with the actual performance observed in Problem 11.2.
The operations manager of a musical instrument distributor feels that the demand for Bass Drums may be related to the number of
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Chapter 16 Solutions
Basic Business Statistics, Student Value Edition
Ch. 16 - If you are using exponential smoothing for...Ch. 16 - Consider a nine-year moving average used to smooth...Ch. 16 - You are using exponential smoothing on an annual...Ch. 16 - Prob. 4PSCh. 16 - Prob. 5PSCh. 16 - How have stocks performed in the past? The...Ch. 16 - Prob. 7PSCh. 16 - Prob. 8PSCh. 16 - Prob. 9PSCh. 16 - Prob. 10PS
Ch. 16 - The linear trend forecasting equation for an...Ch. 16 - There has been much publicity about bounces paid...Ch. 16 - Prob. 13PSCh. 16 - Prob. 14PSCh. 16 - Prob. 15PSCh. 16 - The data shown in the following table and stored...Ch. 16 - Prob. 17PSCh. 16 - Prob. 18PSCh. 16 - Prob. 19PSCh. 16 - Prob. 20PSCh. 16 - Prob. 21PSCh. 16 - Prob. 22PSCh. 16 - You are given an annual time series with 40...Ch. 16 - Prob. 24PSCh. 16 - Prob. 25PSCh. 16 - Prob. 26PSCh. 16 - Prob. 27PSCh. 16 - Prob. 28PSCh. 16 - Prob. 29PSCh. 16 - Using the average baseball salary from 200 through...Ch. 16 - Using the yearly amount of solar power generated...Ch. 16 - The following residuals are from a linear trend...Ch. 16 - Prob. 33PSCh. 16 - Prob. 34PSCh. 16 - Prob. 35PSCh. 16 - Prob. 36PSCh. 16 - Prob. 37PSCh. 16 - Prob. 38PSCh. 16 - Prob. 39PSCh. 16 - Prob. 40PSCh. 16 - In forecasting daily time-series data, how many...Ch. 16 - In forecasting a quarterly time series over the...Ch. 16 - Prob. 43PSCh. 16 - Prob. 44PSCh. 16 - Are gasoline prices higher during the height of...Ch. 16 - Prob. 46PSCh. 16 - Prob. 47PSCh. 16 - The file Silver-Q contains the price in London for...Ch. 16 - Prob. 49PSCh. 16 - What is a time series?Ch. 16 - What are the different components of a time-series...Ch. 16 - What is the difference between moving average and...Ch. 16 - Prob. 53PSCh. 16 - How does the least-squares linear trend...Ch. 16 - How does autoregressive modelling differ from the...Ch. 16 - What are the different approaches to choosing an...Ch. 16 - What is the major difference between using SYX and...Ch. 16 - How does forecasting for monthly or quarterly data...Ch. 16 - Prob. 60PSCh. 16 - The monthly commercial and residential prices for...Ch. 16 - The data stored in McDonalds represent the gross...Ch. 16 - Teachers’ Retirement System of the City of New...Ch. 16 - Prob. 64PS
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- Olympic Pole Vault The graph in Figure 7 indicates that in recent years the winning Olympic men’s pole vault height has fallen below the value predicted by the regression line in Example 2. This might have occurred because when the pole vault was a new event there was much room for improvement in vaulters’ performances, whereas now even the best training can produce only incremental advances. Let’s see whether concentrating on more recent results gives a better predictor of future records. (a) Use the data in Table 2 (page 176) to complete the table of winning pole vault heights shown in the margin. (Note that we are using x=0 to correspond to the year 1972, where this restricted data set begins.) (b) Find the regression line for the data in part ‚(a). (c) Plot the data and the regression line on the same axes. Does the regression line seem to provide a good model for the data? (d) What does the regression line predict as the winning pole vault height for the 2012 Olympics? Compare this predicted value to the actual 2012 winning height of 5.97 m, as described on page 177. Has this new regression line provided a better prediction than the line in Example 2?arrow_forward) In estimating the regression in problem #2, you are also concerned that the t-statistics may be inflated because of the presence of conditional heteroscedasticity. You conduct a regression of the squared residuals against the dummy variables X1, X2, and X3 and find that for the squared residuals regression: Multiple R 0.4145 R Square 0.1718 Adjusted R Square 0.1600 SEE 92.3760 Conduct a test at the level to see if conditional heteroskedasticity is present In view of your answer for a), what needs to be done?arrow_forwardIn estimating the regression in problem #2, you are also concerned that the t-statistics may be inflated because of the presence of conditional heteroscedasticity. You conduct a regression of the squared residuals against the dummy variables X1, X2, and X3 and find that for the squared residuals regression: Multiple R 0.4145 R Square 0.1718 Adjusted R Square 0.1600 SEE 92.3760 Conduct a test at the level to see if conditional heteroskedasticity is presentarrow_forward
- ) In estimating the regression in problem #2, you are also concerned that the t-statistics may be inflated because of the presence of conditional heteroscedasticity. You conduct a regression of the squared residuals against the dummy variables X1, X2, and X3 and find that for the squared residuals regression: Multiple R 0.4145 R Square 0.1718 Adjusted R Square 0.1600 SEE 92.3760 Conduct a test at the level to see if conditional heteroskedasticity is present and from your results, what needs to be done?arrow_forwardConsider the following estimated regression model relating annual salary to years of education and work experience. Estimated Salary=10,815.11+2563.46(Education)+897.49(Experience)Estimated Salary=10,815.11+2563.46(Education)+897.49(Experience) Suppose two employees at the company have been working there for five years. One has a bachelor's degree (88 years of education) and one has a master's degree (1010 years of education). How much more money would we expect the employee with a master's degree to make?arrow_forwardch 11. 4 Oxnard Petro, Ltd., has three interdisciplinary project development teams that function on an ongoing basis. Team members rotate from time to time. Every 4 months (three times a year) each department head rates the performance of each project team (using a 0 to 100 scale, where 100 is the best rating). Are the main effects significant? Is there an interaction?arrow_forward
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