STAT TECH IN BUSINESS & ECON AC
STAT TECH IN BUSINESS & ECON AC
18th Edition
ISBN: 9781264731657
Author: Lind
Publisher: MCG
Question
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Chapter 18, Problem 5E

a.

To determine

To draw: The graph of the provided time series data and draw the observations.

b.

To determine

To calculate: Three period moving average for the given time series data.

c.

To determine

To calculate: The MAD

d.

To determine

To calculate: The forecast demand for period 11 .

e.

To determine

To calculate: The error associated with eleventh-period forecast.

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For the Texas Shipping Company, the monthly percentages of all shipments received on time over the past 12 months are 82, 86, 87, 89, 84, 85, 84, 86, 75, 95, 90, and 92. a. Construct a time series plot (you can include it in the work file question at the end, not here). Identify what type of pattern, if any, exists in the data? Compare the three-month moving average forecast with an exponential smoothing forecast for alpha= 0.25 and answer the following: b. MSE for 3-month moving average method c. MSE for exponential-smoothing method : d. Which method should be preferred? Answer "3-month MA" or "Exponential Smoothing": e. What is the forecast for next month using the preferred method?
the costello Music company has been in business for five years. during that time, salesof pianos increased from 12 units in the first year to 76 units in the most recent year. Fredcostello, the firm’s owner, wants to develop a forecast of piano sales for the coming year.the historical data follow.Year 1 2 3 4 5Sales 12 28 34 50 76a. construct a time series plot. What type of pattern exists in the data?b. develop the linear trend equation for the time series. What is the average increase insales that the firm has been realizing per year?c. Forecast sales for years 6 and 7.
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