Concept explainers
Sometimes experiments involving success or failure responses are run in a paired or before/after manner. Suppose that before a major policy speech by a political candidate, n individuals are selected and asked whether (S) or not (F) they favor the candidate. Then after the speech the same n people are asked the same question. The responses can be entered in a table as follows:
where x1 + x2 + x3 + x4 = n. Let p1, p2, p3, and p4 denote the four cell probabilities, so that p1 = P(S before and S after), and so on. We wish to test the hypothesis that the true proportion of supporters (S) after the speech has not increased against the alternative that it has increased.
a. State the two hypotheses of interest in terms of p1, p2, p3, and p4.
b. Construct an estimator for the after/ before difference in success probabilities.
c. When n is large, it can be shown that the rv (Xi − Xj)/n has approximately a
d. If x1 = 350, x2 = 150, x3 = 200, and x4 = 300, what do you conclude?
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Probability and Statistics for Engineering and the Sciences
- Algebra & Trigonometry with Analytic GeometryAlgebraISBN:9781133382119Author:SwokowskiPublisher:Cengage