Production and Operations Analysis, Seventh Edition
Production and Operations Analysis, Seventh Edition
7th Edition
ISBN: 9781478623069
Author: Steven Nahmias, Tava Lennon Olsen
Publisher: Waveland Press, Inc.
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Chapter 10, Problem 29AP

A.

Summary Introduction

Interpretation: The expected time duration of the filming is to be computed including the PERT estimates is to be calculated.

Concept Introduction: Program Evaluation and review technique is a planning and control tool, wherein the work flow of various activities of a project are graphically represented and analyzed. This technique is distinct in the way that it deals with uncertainty in the activity completion times.

B.

Summary Introduction

Interpretation: The probability that the number of days required for the filming of the scene is 30 percent longer is to be computed.

Concept Introduction: Program Evaluation and review technique is a planning and control tool, wherein the work flow of various activities of a project are graphically represented and analyzed. This technique is distinct in the way that it deals with uncertainty in the activity completion times.

C.

Summary Introduction

Interpretation: The number of days to be planned for the filming, so as to be 95 percent sure of completion is to be calculated.

Concept Introduction: Program Evaluation and review technique is a planning and control tool, wherein the work flow of various activities of a project are graphically represented and analyzed. This technique is distinct in the way that it deals with uncertainty in the activity completion times.

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In reference to the attached image: Activity times with the greatest uncertainty are activities D, E, and H. Describe conceptually how you could model this uncertainty in activity times. (You do not have the necessary data to actually do this numerically.)
Briefly describe 'Parkinson's Law' and 'Murphy's Law'. One sentence each. Then briefly in 3-6 sentences, please explain why these 'Laws' are relevant in project planning in regard to schedule, risk, cost, and resources (especially the 'people resource')..
Suppose the optimistic estimate for completing a particular task is 2 weeks, the pessimistic estimate is 38 days, and the most likely estimate is 20 days. The PERT weight average estimate to complete that task will be:     14 days      20 days      38 days     22 days
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