Principles Of Operations Management
11th Edition
ISBN: 9780135173930
Author: RENDER, Barry, HEIZER, Jay, Munson, Chuck
Publisher: Pearson,
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Chapter 11.S, Problem 4P
a)
Summary Introduction
To determine: The probability that both the suppliers are disrupted using option 1.
Introduction:
b)
Summary Introduction
To determine: The probability that both the suppliers are disrupted using option 2.
c)
Summary Introduction
To determine: The option which provides lowest risk of shutdown.
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Johnson Chemicals is considering two options for its supplier portfolio. Option 1 uses two local suppliers. Each has a "unique-event" risk of 5%, and the probability of a "superevent" that would disable both at the same time is estimated to be 1.5%. Option 2 uses two suppliers located in different countries. Each has a "unique-event" risk of 13%, and the probability of a "super-event" that would disable both at the same time is estimated to be 0.2%.
Machado Construction is considering two options for its supplier portfolio. Option 1 uses two local suppliers. Each has a "unique-event" risk of 8%, and the probability of a "super-even" that would disable both at the same time is estimated to be 2.5%. Option 2 uses two suppliers located in different countries. Each has a "unique-event" risk of 18%, and the probability of a "super-event" that would disable both at the same time is estimated to be 1.2%.
(a) What is the probability that both suppliers will be disrupted using option 1?
(b) What is the probability that both suppliers will be disrupted using option 2?
(c) Which option would provide the lowest risk of a total shutdown?
Risk manager Camila De Leon of Johnson Chemicals is considering two options for the firm's supplier portfolio. Option 1 uses two local suppliers. Each has a "unique-event" risk of 5.8%, and the probability of a "super-event" that would disable both at the same time is estimated to be 1.3%. Option 2 uses two suppliers located in different countries. Each has a "unique-event" risk of 14%, and the probability of a "super-event" that would disable both at the same time is estimated to be .24%.
a) The probability that both suppliers will be disrupted using option 1 is
b)Similarly, determine the probability of a total disruption for option 2.
c) Which option would provide the lowest risk of a total shutdown?
Chapter 11 Solutions
Principles Of Operations Management
Ch. 11.S - Prob. 1DQCh. 11.S - Prob. 2DQCh. 11.S - Prob. 3DQCh. 11.S - Prob. 4DQCh. 11.S - Prob. 5DQCh. 11.S - Prob. 6DQCh. 11.S - Prob. 7DQCh. 11.S - Prob. 8DQCh. 11.S - Prob. 9DQCh. 11.S - Prob. 10DQ
Ch. 11.S - Prob. 1PCh. 11.S - Prob. 2PCh. 11.S - Prob. 3PCh. 11.S - Prob. 4PCh. 11.S - Prob. 5PCh. 11.S - Prob. 6PCh. 11.S - Prob. 7PCh. 11.S - Prob. 8PCh. 11.S - Prob. 9PCh. 11.S - Prob. 10PCh. 11.S - Prob. 11PCh. 11.S - Prob. 12PCh. 11.S - Prob. 13PCh. 11.S - Prob. 14PCh. 11.S - Your options for shipping 100,000 of machine parts...Ch. 11.S - If you have a third option for the data in Problem...Ch. 11.S - Prob. 18PCh. 11.S - Prob. 19PCh. 11.S - Prob. 20PCh. 11.S - Prob. 21PCh. 11.S - Prob. 22PCh. 11 - Prob. 1EDCh. 11 - Prob. 1DQCh. 11 - Prob. 2DQCh. 11 - Prob. 3DQCh. 11 - Prob. 4DQCh. 11 - Prob. 5DQCh. 11 - Prob. 6DQCh. 11 - Prob. 7DQCh. 11 - Prob. 8DQCh. 11 - What is CPFR?Ch. 11 - Prob. 10DQCh. 11 - Prob. 11DQCh. 11 - Prob. 12DQCh. 11 - Prob. 13DQCh. 11 - Prob. 14DQCh. 11 - Prob. 15DQCh. 11 - Prob. 16DQCh. 11 - Prob. 17DQCh. 11 - Prob. 1PCh. 11 - Hau Lee Furniture, Inc., described in Example 1 of...Ch. 11 - Prob. 3PCh. 11 - Prob. 4PCh. 11 - Prob. 5PCh. 11 - Prob. 6PCh. 11 - Prob. 7PCh. 11 - Prob. 8PCh. 11 - Prob. 9PCh. 11 - Prob. 10PCh. 11 - Prob. 11PCh. 11 - Prob. 1.1VCCh. 11 - Prob. 1.2VCCh. 11 - Prob. 1.3VCCh. 11 - Prob. 1.4VCCh. 11 - Prob. 2.1VCCh. 11 - Prob. 2.2VCCh. 11 - Prob. 2.3VCCh. 11 - Prob. 3.1VCCh. 11 - Prob. 3.2VCCh. 11 - Prob. 3.3VCCh. 11 - Prob. 3.4VC
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