STATISTICAL TECHNIQUES-ACCESS ONLY
STATISTICAL TECHNIQUES-ACCESS ONLY
16th Edition
ISBN: 9780077639648
Author: Lind
Publisher: MCG
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Chapter 18, Problem 17CE

a.

To determine

Obtain the estimation of linear trend equation for the production series by drawing a straight line through the data.

b.

To determine

Calculate the average annual decrease in production.

c.

To determine

Obtain the forecast for the year 2019.

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The following table gives the average monthly exchange rate between the U.S. dollar and the euro for 2009. It shows that 1 euro was equivalent to 1.289 U.S. dollars in January 2009. Develop a trend line that could be used to predict the exchange rate for 2010. Use this model to predict the exchange rate for January 2010 and February 2010. MONTH ______________________ EXCHANGE RATE January ....................................... 1.289 February ...................................... 1.324 March ......................................... 1.321 April .......................................... 1.317 May ........................................... 1.280 June ........................................... 1.254 July ........................................... 1.230 August ....................................... 1.240 September ................................... 1.287 October ..................................... 1.298 November .................................. 1.283 December…
3. Describe the trend (e.g, increase or decrease) Determine whether it shows a linear trend, quadratic trend or exponential trend (e.g. using the first differences, second differences or decay or growth factor)
12. Find the following table. 1. Fit a straight line trend by the method of least square. 2. Calculate the trend value. Year: 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 Production: 12 10 14 11 13 15 16 (*000 tons)

Chapter 18 Solutions

STATISTICAL TECHNIQUES-ACCESS ONLY

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