Practical Management Science
Practical Management Science
6th Edition
ISBN: 9781337406659
Author: WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher: Cengage,
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Chapter 9.3, Problem 4P
Summary Introduction

To determine: How large would be the fixed cost to make the unrestraint option to be the best option.

Introduction: The variation between the present value of the cash outflows and the present value of the cash inflows are known as the Net Present Value (NPV).

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The fixed cost of $6 million in the Acme problem is evidently not large enough to make Acme abandon the product at the current time. How large would the fixed cost need to be to make the abandon option the bestoption? Explain how the decision tree, especially the version in Figure 9.5, answers this question easily.
If you want to invest in a project that cost $3.5 million. As we are unsure about the future demand, there is a 40% probability of high demand with a present value for the project $3 million. There is a 25% probability of moderate demand with a present value of $2.5 million. In addition, there is a 35%   probability of low demand with a present value is $1.5 million. Draw a decision tree for this problem. What is the expected net present value of the business? Should you invest? Explain. Assume that you can expand the project by investing another $0.6 million after you learn the true future demand state. This would make the present value of the business $3.9 million in the high‐demand state, $3.5 million in the moderate demand state, and $1.80 million in the low demand state. Draw a decision tree to reflect the option to expand. Evaluate the alternatives. What is the net present value of the business if you consider the option to expand? How valuable is the option to expand?
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Practical Management Science
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ISBN:9781337406659
Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher:Cengage,