MyLab Statistics for Business Stats with Pearson eText -- Standalone Access Card -- for Statistics for Business and Economics
13th Edition
ISBN: 9780134748610
Author: James T. McClave, P. George Benson, Terry Sincich
Publisher: PEARSON
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Chapter 14.9, Problem 14.53ACB
Predicting presidential elections. Refer to the Political Analysis (Vol. 17, 2009) study on predicting presidential elections, Exercise 14.44 (p. 14-37). Recall that a regression model with five independent variables was fit to data collected for n = 24 election years in order to predict Yt = percentage of the two-party vote won by the incumbent party’s candidate in election year t. The Durbin-Watson d-statistic for the model was reported as d = 1. 77. Is there evidence (at α = .05) of
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Dental Hygiene: Which Toothbrush? In an experiment reported by J. Singer and D. Andrade in the article “Regression Models for the Analysis of Pretest/Posttest Data” (Biometrics, Vol. 53, pp. 729–735), the effect of using either a conventional or experimental (hugger) toothbrush was investigated. Twelve female and 12 male preschoolers were selected. Within each gender group, six were randomly assigned to the conventional toothbrush and the remaining six to the experimental toothbrush. After each subject brushed with the assigned toothbrush, a dental plaque index was measured. The higher the dental plaque index, the greater was the amount of plaque on an individual’s teeth.
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Multiple regression is sometimes used in litigation. In the case of Cargill, Inc. v. Hardin (1971), the prosecution charged that the cash price of wheat was manipulated in violation of the Commodity Exchange Act. In a statistical study conducted for this case, a multiple regression model was constructed to predict the cash price of wheat using three supply-and-demand explanatory variables: economic growth, population growth, and meat consumption. Data for 24 years were used to construct the regression equation, and a prediction for the suspect period was computed from this equation.
Which of the independent variables is the most significant predictor of the cash price of wheat?
a. Intercept
b. Economic Growth
c. Population Growth
d. Meat Consumption
Multiple regression is sometimes used in litigation. In the case of Cargill, Inc. v. Hardin (1971), the prosecution charged that the cash price of wheat was manipulated in violation of the Commodity Exchange Act. In a statistical study conducted for this case, a multiple regression model was constructed to predict the cash price of wheat using three supply-and-demand explanatory variables: economic growth, population growth, and meat consumption. Data for 24 years were used to construct the regression equation, and a prediction for the suspect period was computed from this equation
Based on a significance level of 5%, which of the following independent variables significantly predict the cash price of wheat?
a. Economic Growth
b. Population Growth
c. Meat Consumption
d. All the independent variables significantly predict the cash price of wheat.
Chapter 14 Solutions
MyLab Statistics for Business Stats with Pearson eText -- Standalone Access Card -- for Statistics for Business and Economics
Ch. 14.1 - Explain in words how to construct a simple index.Ch. 14.1 - Explain in words how to calculate the following...Ch. 14.1 - Explain in words the difference between Laspeyres...Ch. 14.1 - The table below gives the prices for three...Ch. 14.1 - Refer to Exercise 14.4. The next table gives the...Ch. 14.1 - Annual median family income. The table below lists...Ch. 14.1 - Annual U.S. craft beer production. While overall...Ch. 14.1 - Quarterly single-family housing starts. The...Ch. 14.1 - Spot price of natural gas. The table shown in the...Ch. 14.1 - Employment in farm and nonfarm categories....
Ch. 14.1 - GOP personal consumption expenditures. The gross...Ch. 14.1 - GDP personal consumption expenditures (contd)....Ch. 14.1 - Weekly earnings for workers. The table in the next...Ch. 14.1 - Production and price of metals. The level or price...Ch. 14.2 - Describe the effect of selecting an exponential...Ch. 14.2 - A monthly time series is shown in the table to the...Ch. 14.2 - Annual U.S. craft beer production. Refer to the...Ch. 14.2 - Foreign fish production. Overfishing and pollution...Ch. 14.2 - Yearly price of gold. The price of gold is used by...Ch. 14.2 - Personal consumption in transportation. There has...Ch. 14.2 - OPEC crude oil imports. The data in the table...Ch. 14.2 - SP 500 Stock Index. Standard Poors 500 Composite...Ch. 14.5 - How does the choice of the smoothing constant w...Ch. 14.5 - Refer to Exercise 14.4 (p. 14-9). The table with...Ch. 14.5 - Annual U.S. craft beer production. Refer to...Ch. 14.5 - Quarterly single-family housing starts. Refer to...Ch. 14.5 - Consumer Price Index. The CPI measures the...Ch. 14.5 - OPEC crude oil imports. Refer to the annual OPEC...Ch. 14.5 - SP 500 Stock Index. Refer to the quarterly...Ch. 14.5 - SP 500 Stock Index (contd). Refer to Exercise...Ch. 14.5 - Monthly gold prices. The fluctuation of gold...Ch. 14.6 - Annual U.S. craft beer production. Refer to the...Ch. 14.6 - Annual U.S. craft beer production (contd). Refer...Ch. 14.6 - SP 500 Stock Index. Refer to your exponential...Ch. 14.6 - SP 500 Stock Index (contd). Refer to your Holt...Ch. 14.6 - Monthly gold prices. Refer to the monthly gold...Ch. 14.6 - US school enrollments. The next table reports...Ch. 14.8 - The annual price of a finished product (in cents...Ch. 14.8 - Retail sales in Quarters 14 over a 10-year period...Ch. 14.8 - What advantage do regression forecasts have over...Ch. 14.8 - Mortgage interest rates. The level at which...Ch. 14.8 - Price of natural gas. Refer to Exercise 14.9 (p....Ch. 14.8 - A gasoline tax on carbon emissions. In an effort...Ch. 14.8 - Predicting presidential elections. Researchers at...Ch. 14.8 - Life insurance policies in force. The table below...Ch. 14.8 - Graphing calculator sales. The next table presents...Ch. 14.8 - Prob. 14.47ACICh. 14.9 - Define autocorrelation. Explain why it is...Ch. 14.9 - For each case, indicate the decision regarding the...Ch. 14.9 - What do the following Durbin-Watson statistics...Ch. 14.9 - Company donations to charity. Refer to the Journal...Ch. 14.9 - Forecasting monthly car and truck sales. Forecasts...Ch. 14.9 - Predicting presidential elections. Refer to the...Ch. 14.9 - Mortgage interest rates. Refer to the data on...Ch. 14.9 - Price of natural gas. Refer to the annual data on...Ch. 14.9 - Life insurance policies in force. Refer to the...Ch. 14.9 - Modeling the deposit share of a retail bank....Ch. 14 - Insured Social Security workers. Workers insured...Ch. 14 - Insured Social Security workers (contd). Refer to...Ch. 14 - Retail prices of food items. In 1990, the average...Ch. 14 - Demand for emergency room services. With the...Ch. 14 - Mortgage interest rates. Refer to the annual...Ch. 14 - Price of Abbott Labs stock. The yearly closing...Ch. 14 - Price o f Abbott Labs stock (contd). Refer to...Ch. 14 - Prob. 14.65ACICh. 14 - Prob. 14.66ACICh. 14 - Quarterly GOP values (contd). Refer to Exercise...Ch. 14 - Prob. 14.68ACICh. 14 - Prob. 14.69ACICh. 14 - Prob. 14.70ACICh. 14 - IBM stock prices. Refer to Example 14.1 (p. 14-5)...Ch. 14 - Prob. 14.72ACI
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- Multiple regression is sometimes used in litigation. In the case of Cargill, Inc. v. Hardin (1971), the prosecution charged that the cash price of wheat was manipulated in violation of the Commodity Exchange Act. In a statistical study conducted for this case, a multiple regression model was constructed to predict the cash price of wheat using three supply-and-demand explanatory variables: economic growth, population growth, and meat consumption. Data for 24 years were used to construct the regression equation, and a prediction for the suspect period was computed from this equation. The actual cash price of wheat under investigation in 1963 was $2.13. Based on the comparison of the correct predicted cash price calculated in the previous question and the actual cash price, what does the evidence suggest about Cargill, Inc.? a. Because the predicted price is relatively close to the actual price (within one cent), Cargill, Inc. probably did not artificially manipulate the price of wheat.…arrow_forwardMultiple regression is sometimes used in litigation. In the case of Cargill, Inc. v. Hardin (1971), the prosecution charged that the cash price of wheat was manipulated in violation of the Commodity Exchange Act. In a statistical study conducted for this case, a multiple regression model was constructed to predict the cash price of wheat using three supply-and-demand explanatory variables: economic growth, population growth, and meat consumption. Data for 24 years were used to construct the regression equation, and a prediction for the suspect period was computed from this equation. In 1963, during the period in question, economic growth was 3.8; population growth was 1.40; and meat consumption was 152.95. Based on these values, what would be the predicted cash price of wheat at this time in 1963?arrow_forwardMultiple regression is sometimes used in litigation. In the case of Cargill, Inc. v. Hardin (1971), the prosecution charged that the cash price of wheat was manipulated in violation of the Commodity Exchange Act. In a statistical study conducted for this case, a multiple regression model was constructed to predict the cash price of wheat using three supply-and-demand explanatory variables: economic growth, population growth, and meat consumption. Data for 24 years were used to construct the regression equation, and a prediction for the suspect period was computed from this equation. The following output represents the regression analysis. . Before the judge and jury consider the results of the regression model, they must ensure that the model is valid. What is the proper hypothesis test for this model, and what is the proper conclusion?arrow_forward
- Consider the regression model Y = B0 + B1 X1 + B2 X2 + u. Suppose you want to test the null hypothesis H0: B1 + B2 = 0, versus the alternative hypothesis H1: B1+ B2 != 0 (!= means "not equal to"). The data set consists of 100 observations. (a) Suppose we use an F-statistic to conduct the test. What are the degrees of freedom associated with this test statistic? (b) Let G(.) be the CDF of the F-distribution for the F-statistic in part (b). Denote the actual F-statistic by F_act. Suppose someone says that you should reject the null at the 5% significance level if G(F_act)<0.05. Explain whether you agree with this approach. (c) Suppose you find that the F-test in part (b)-(c) and the test in part (a) yield very different p-values. Do you think this result is correct? Briefly explain your reasoning.arrow_forwardData was collected on 54 observations on a response of interest, y, and four potential predictor variables x1, x2, x3, and x4. The output from regression analyses of the data is attached to the end of the page. d) Is the variable from your best simple linear regression model (from part a) included in the model with the lowest overall MSE (part b)? Briefly explain why it could happen that the best single variable is not in the best overall model. e) Following the best subsets regression results, the sums of squares for regression and error (also called residual) are displayed for several models. Using the regression sums of squares information for the full model containing all four x variables, calculate i) the R2 value for the full model, ii) the F statistic for the test of the H0: b1 = b2 = b3 = b4 = 0, and iii) the standard deviation of the residuals for the full model. f) Using the regression sums of squares information, test the null hypothesis H0:b2 = b4 = 0 for the full model.…arrow_forwardA newspaper used an estimated regression equation to describe the relationship between y = error percentage for subjects reading a four-digit liquid crystal display and the independent variables x1 = level of backlight, x2 = character subtense, x3 = viewing angle, and x4 = level of ambient light. From a table given in the article, SSRegr = 21.6, SSResid = 22, and n = 30. What is the value of the test statistic F What is the P-value What is r2 What is Searrow_forward
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- Does the sugar cane model suffer from heteroscedasticity? Perform a Breusch-Pegan test as well as a Whitetest to verify what the residual plots suggests, based on the following regression results:arrow_forwardThe height (in feet) and trunk circumference (in inches) at breast height (4.5 feet above the ground)was measured for a random sample of Eucalyptus trees. The data are summarized below.Trunk Circumference 21.1 20.8 22.5 19.4 23.6 19.8 21.6 19.9Tree Height 34.2 32.7 35.0 31.9 36.5 31.2 33.8 31.4(a) Determine the linear regression model that will best predict the height of a Eucalyptus treebased on its trunk circumference at breast height.arrow_forwardSeven North American Green Frogs (Rana clamitans) had their jumping distance recorded (in mm) multiple times in a laboratory. The mean jumping distance for these frogs along with their length (measured from snout to vent in miMillimeters) are presented in the table below. Length of Frog 52 68 37 65 77 81 59 Mean Jumping Distance 546 673 415 659 793 814 563 (a) Determine the linear regression model that will best predit the mean jumping distance of a North American Green Frog based on the frog's length. (b) How well does the linear regression model fit this sample data? (c) Use the linear regression model to predict the mean jumping distance of a North American Green Frog that is 48 mm in length. No excel, please.arrow_forward
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