EBK OPERATIONS MANAGEMENT
EBK OPERATIONS MANAGEMENT
14th Edition
ISBN: 9781260718447
Author: Stevenson
Publisher: MCG COURSE
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Chapter 17, Problem 9DRQ

Why might a probabilistic estimate of a project’s completion time based solely on the variance of the critical path be misleading? Under what circumstances would it be acceptable?

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Why might a probabilistic estimate of a project’s completion time based solely on the variance of the critical path be misleading? Under what circumstances would it be acceptable?
A project has 7 activities P, Q, R, S, T, U, and V. Three time estimates (optimistic, most-likely, pessimistic) are used for each activity. Write down your answers to all parts of the question  in the box given below. Give your answer to 3 decimal places. (Note  (a) has of 2 parts and (b) has of 3 parts) For activity Q, these time estimates are as follows: optimistic time = 9, most-likely time = 14, pessimistic time = 20. Write down the average activity time for Q the variance of activity time for Q. The critical path of this project has a mean project time of 44 days and a standard deviation of 5 days. Assume project completion time is normally distributed.  Find the probability that the project will be completed in 47 days. Find the probability that the project will take more than 40 days. We want to set a deadline for this project completion. If the probability of meeting this set deadline is 0.88, what will be the deadline for this project.
A completion time (X) is expected to be 52 weeks, with a variance of 64. What is the probability the project will be completed 16 weeks before its expected completion date? Assume X is normal.

Chapter 17 Solutions

EBK OPERATIONS MANAGEMENT

Ch. 17 - Why might a probabilistic estimate of a projects...Ch. 17 - Define each of these terms, and indicate how each...Ch. 17 - Why might a person wish to be involved with a...Ch. 17 - Prob. 12DRQCh. 17 - What are some aspects of the project managers job...Ch. 17 - What is the main benefit of a project organization...Ch. 17 - What trade-offs are associated with time and cost...Ch. 17 - Who needs to be involved in assessing the cost of...Ch. 17 - Prob. 3TSCh. 17 - Project management techniques have been used...Ch. 17 - Give three examples of unethical conduct involving...Ch. 17 - For each of the following network diagrams,...Ch. 17 - Chris received new word processing software for...Ch. 17 - Prepare a Gantt chart for each of the following in...Ch. 17 - a. Develop a list of activities and their...Ch. 17 - For each of the problems listed, determine the...Ch. 17 - PRINTED BY: 92248ddb24ccbc6@placeholder.10274.edu....Ch. 17 - Three recent college graduates have formed a...Ch. 17 - The new director of special events at a large...Ch. 17 - Prob. 9PCh. 17 - The project described in the following table is...Ch. 17 - The following precedence diagram reflects three...Ch. 17 - A project manager has compiled a list of major...Ch. 17 - Here is a list of activity times for a project as...Ch. 17 - The project manager of a task force planning the...Ch. 17 - PRINTED BY: 92248ddb24ccbc6@placeholder.10274.edu....Ch. 17 - Chucks Custom Boats (CCB) builds luxury yachts to...Ch. 17 - Prob. 17PCh. 17 - Create a risk matrix in the style of Figure 17.13...Ch. 17 - Create a risk matrix for this project: Explain...Ch. 17 - B. Smitty Smith is a project manager for a large...
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